Hollywood Casino 400

Kansas Speedway, September 29, 2024

Ross Chastain
Winner
267
Laps
38
Entries
15
Leaders

Ross Chastain won the 2024 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway on September 29, 2024, leading 52 of 267 laps. William Byron finished second; Martin Truex, Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 15 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, September 29, 2024
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
15 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 20 +19 Ross Chastain
2 6 +4 William Byron
3 19 +16 Martin Truex, Jr.
4 7 +3 Ryan Blaney
5 2 -3 Ty Gibbs
6 12 +6 Alex Bowman
7 1 -6 Christopher Bell
8 8 Denny Hamlin
9 38 +29 Chase Elliott
10 15 +5 Zane Smith
11 25 +14 Chris Buescher
12 22 +10 Austin Dillon
13 10 -3 Daniel Suarez
14 5 -9 Joey Logano
15 27 +12 Corey LaJoie
16 37 +21 Ryan Preece
17 13 -4 Bubba Wallace
18 24 +6 Noah Gragson
19 3 -16 Kyle Busch
20 30 +10 Daniel Hemric
21 32 +11 Ty Dillon
22 26 +4 Brad Keselowski
23 28 +5 Harrison Burton
24 9 -15 Chase Briscoe
25 4 -21 Tyler Reddick
26 11 -15 Kyle Larson
27 33 +6 Todd Gilliland
28 18 -10 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
29 21 -8 Michael McDowell
30 31 +1 John Hunter Nemechek
31 34 +3 Kaz Grala
32 14 -18 Carson Hocevar
33 23 -10 Justin Haley
34 17 -17 Austin Cindric
35 16 -19 Erik Jones
36 35 -1 Jimmie Johnson
37 36 -1 J.J. Yeley
38 29 -9 Josh Berry
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
William Byron 1 4 17
Ryan Blaney 3 3 16
Ty Gibbs 6 2 14
Alex Bowman 9 1 12
Joey Logano 2 9
Denny Hamlin 4 7
Martin Truex, Jr. 8 8 6
Christopher Bell 5 6
Brad Keselowski 5 6
Carson Hocevar 10 6 6
Kyle Busch 7 4
Austin Cindric 7 4
Chase Elliott 9 2
Chase Briscoe 10 1
Ross Chastain
Zane Smith
Chris Buescher
Austin Dillon
Daniel Suarez
Corey LaJoie
Ryan Preece
Bubba Wallace
Noah Gragson
Daniel Hemric
Ty Dillon
Harrison Burton
Tyler Reddick
Kyle Larson
Todd Gilliland
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Michael McDowell
John Hunter Nemechek
Kaz Grala
Justin Haley
Erik Jones
Jimmie Johnson
J.J. Yeley
Josh Berry
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 34 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.9 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Ross Chastain 14.5 1 +13.5
2 William Byron 10.7 2 +8.7
3 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 3 +12.4
4 Ryan Blaney 8.2 4 +4.2
5 Ty Gibbs 10.7 5 +5.7
6 Alex Bowman 16.2 6 +10.2
7 Christopher Bell 9.2 7 +2.2
8 Denny Hamlin 6.2 8 -1.8
9 Chase Elliott 10.1 9 +1.1
10 Zane Smith 18.3 10 +8.3
11 Chris Buescher 9.2 11 -1.8
12 Austin Dillon 19.9 12 +7.9
13 Daniel Suarez 12.7 13 -0.3
14 Joey Logano 11.9 14 -2.1
15 Corey LaJoie 22.2 15 +7.2
16 Ryan Preece 13.3 16 -2.7
17 Bubba Wallace 12.7 17 -4.3
18 Noah Gragson 22.9 18 +4.9
21 Ty Dillon 22.9 21 +1.9
22 Brad Keselowski 15.4 22 -6.6

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Ross Chastain: has 29 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 15.6 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 40 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.4 avg finish (5 wins), finishing P8 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2024 Hollywood Casino 400?
Ross Chastain won the 2024 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway driving for Trackhouse Racing.
Where was the 2024 Hollywood Casino 400 held?
The 2024 Hollywood Casino 400 was held at Kansas Speedway on September 29, 2024.