Ally 400

Nashville Superspeedway — June 30, 2024

Joey Logano
Winner
364
Laps
37
Entries
9
Leaders

Joey Logano won the 2024 Ally 400 at Nashville Superspeedway on June 30, 2024, leading 9 of 364 laps. Zane Smith finished second; Tyler Reddick rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, June 30, 2024
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 23 +22 Joey Logano
2 26 +24 Zane Smith
3 6 +3 Tyler Reddick
4 30 +26 Ryan Preece
5 10 +5 Chris Buescher
6 7 +1 Ryan Blaney
7 1 -6 Bubba Wallace
8 4 -4 Kyle Larson
9 25 +16 Daniel Hemric
10 29 +19 Noah Gragson
11 A.J. Allmendinger
12 14 +2 Denny Hamlin
13 21 +8 Justin Haley
14 27 +13 Alex Bowman
15 11 -4 Austin Cindric
16 2 -14 Carson Hocevar
17 33 +16 Todd Gilliland
18 20 +2 Chase Elliott
19 8 -11 William Byron
20 19 -1 Corey LaJoie
21 Harrison Burton
22 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
23 13 -10 Ty Gibbs
24 Erik Jones
25 John Hunter Nemechek
26 Shane van Gisbergen
27 Justin Haley
28 Michael McDowell
29 Daniel Hemric
30 William Byron
31 Josh Berry
32 Noah Gragson
33 22 -11 Ross Chastain
34 Kaz Grala
35 31 -4 Michael McDowell
36 9 -27 Christopher Bell
37 Ryan Blaney
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Kyle Larson 1 1 20
Denny Hamlin 6 3 13
Christopher Bell 5 5 12
Bubba Wallace 2 9 11
Tyler Reddick 4 8 10
William Byron 8 4 10
Ty Gibbs 7 6 9
Chris Buescher 10 13 1
A.J. Allmendinger
Harrison Burton
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Erik Jones
John Hunter Nemechek
Shane van Gisbergen
Justin Haley
Michael McDowell
Daniel Hemric
William Byron
Josh Berry
Noah Gragson
Kaz Grala
Ryan Blaney
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 28 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.5 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Joey Logano 14.7 1 +13.7
2 Zane Smith 19.1 2 +17.1
3 Tyler Reddick 6.2 3 +3.2
4 Ryan Preece 10.1 4 +6.1
5 Chris Buescher 9.2 5 +4.2
6 Ryan Blaney 9.2 6 +3.2
7 Bubba Wallace 12.7 7 +5.7
8 Kyle Larson 12.7 8 +4.7
10 Noah Gragson 21.4 10 +11.4
11 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 11 +7.3
12 Denny Hamlin 8.2 12 -3.8
13 Justin Haley 19.9 13 +6.9
14 Alex Bowman 13.5 14 -0.5
15 Austin Cindric 15.4 15 +0.4
16 Carson Hocevar 13.1 16 -2.9
17 Todd Gilliland 19.1 17 +2.1
18 Chase Elliott 7.8 18 -10.2
19 William Byron 10.7 19 -8.3
20 Corey LaJoie 22.2 20 +2.2
22 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 22 -2.1

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Joey Logano: has 7 career starts at Nashville Superspeedway with a 10.7 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Nashville Superspeedway with a 16.0 avg finish, finishing P3 on the day.
  • Zane Smith: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P19. Track history: 6 starts, 5.0 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2024 Ally 400?
Joey Logano won the 2024 Ally 400 at Nashville Superspeedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2024 Ally 400 held?
The 2024 Ally 400 was held at Nashville Superspeedway on June 30, 2024.