Toyota Owners 400
Richmond Raceway — March 31, 2024
Denny Hamlin
Winner
407
Laps
36
Entries
7
Leaders
Denny Hamlin won the 2024 Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond Raceway on March 31, 2024, leading 17 of 407 laps. Joey Logano finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, March 31, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | Denny Hamlin |
| 2 | 12 | +10 | Joey Logano |
| 3 | 13 | +10 | Kyle Larson |
| 4 | 19 | +15 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 5 | 17 | +12 | Chase Elliott |
| 6 | 4 | -2 | Christopher Bell |
| 7 | 11 | +4 | William Byron |
| 8 | 7 | -1 | Brad Keselowski |
| 9 | 26 | +17 | Chris Buescher |
| 10 | 5 | -5 | Tyler Reddick |
| 11 | 29 | +18 | Josh Berry |
| 12 | 27 | +15 | Noah Gragson |
| 13 | 8 | -5 | Bubba Wallace |
| 14 | 22 | +8 | Erik Jones |
| 15 | 16 | +1 | Ross Chastain |
| 16 | 9 | -7 | Ty Gibbs |
| 17 | 14 | -3 | Alex Bowman |
| 18 | 23 | +5 | Chase Briscoe |
| 19 | 3 | -16 | Ryan Blaney |
| 20 | 10 | -10 | Kyle Busch |
| 21 | — | — | Joey Logano |
| 22 | — | — | Harrison Burton |
| 23 | — | — | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 24 | — | — | Daniel Suarez |
| 25 | — | — | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 26 | — | — | Carson Hocevar |
| 27 | — | — | Kyle Busch |
| 28 | — | — | Austin Dillon |
| 29 | — | — | Derek Kraus |
| 30 | — | — | Chris Buescher |
| 31 | — | — | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 32 | — | — | Tyler Reddick |
| 33 | — | — | Daniel Hemric |
| 34 | — | — | Kyle Larson |
| 35 | — | — | Zane Smith |
| 36 | — | — | Ryan Blaney |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Bell | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Ryan Blaney | 3 | 3 | — | 16 |
| Chase Elliott | 10 | 4 | — | 8 |
| Denny Hamlin | 5 | 10 | — | 7 |
| Joey Logano | 9 | 6 | — | 7 |
| Brad Keselowski | 26 | 5 | — | 6 |
| William Byron | 6 | 19 | — | 5 |
| Ty Gibbs | 7 | 13 | — | 4 |
| Chase Briscoe | 23 | 7 | — | 4 |
| Tyler Reddick | 8 | 20 | — | 3 |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Carson Hocevar | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Derek Kraus | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Larson | — | — | — | — |
| Zane Smith | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 27 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.2 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 1 | +5.8 |
| 2 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 2 | +10.1 |
| 3 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 3 | +5.6 |
| 4 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 4 | +9.8 |
| 5 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 5 | +3.3 |
| 6 | Christopher Bell | 8.6 | 6 | +2.6 |
| 7 | William Byron | 10.3 | 7 | +3.3 |
| 8 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 8 | +4.0 |
| 9 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 9 | +1.3 |
| 10 | Tyler Reddick | 9.9 | 10 | -0.1 |
| 11 | Josh Berry | 19.0 | 11 | +8.0 |
| 12 | Noah Gragson | 23.0 | 12 | +11.0 |
| 13 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 13 | +1.0 |
| 14 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 14 | +3.7 |
| 15 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 15 | -1.2 |
| 16 | Ty Gibbs | 12.6 | 16 | -3.4 |
| 17 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 17 | -3.0 |
| 18 | Chase Briscoe | 12.6 | 18 | -5.4 |
| 19 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 19 | -12.2 |
| 20 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 20 | -4.4 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin: has 27 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 9.8 avg finish (3 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P12 vs predicted P23. Track history: 10 starts, 17.4 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 Toyota Owners 400?
Denny Hamlin won the 2024 Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond Raceway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2024 Toyota Owners 400 held?
The 2024 Toyota Owners 400 was held at Richmond Raceway on March 31, 2024.