Food City 500
Bristol Motor SpeedwayBristol Motor Speedway's spring race brings the Cup Series back to the high-banked concrete bullring before the lights and cameras of the August night race steal the headlines. The Food City 500 packs 500 laps into the 0.533-mile half-mile with 24-28 degrees of banking, and the daytime version of Bristol has its own character — different track temperatures, different tire wear curves, and different visibility than the floodlit night race. Goodyear has experimented with tire compounds at Bristol in recent seasons, sometimes producing aggressive fall-off that opens multiple grooves and other times yielding a single-file procession decided entirely by restarts. The 2024 spring race featured one of the most dramatic tire-wear stories in modern Bristol history, with lap-time degradation that hadn't been seen at the bullring in decades, and the strategy execution that day reminded the field how quickly a Bristol race can flip. With 500 laps in roughly three hours of green-flag racing, the Food City 500 is one of the most physically and mentally demanding short-track tests on the schedule, and the pressure cooker of Bristol almost always reveals which teams can keep their composure when the bumpers start to fly.
Your watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.
Your Drivers' Outlook
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin has 48 starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with 4 wins and a 14.3 average finish.
- Ryan Blaney has 28 starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with 2 wins and a 11.6 average finish.
- Chase Elliott has 29 starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 12.3 average finish.
Based on Cup Series results at Bristol Motor Speedway from 1949-2026.
Kyle Busch finishes in the top 10 at Bristol Motor Speedway 63% of the time across 73 starts.
Kyle Busch's track recordKyle Busch has led 4,874 laps at Bristol Motor Speedway — more than anyone else.
Kyle Busch's statsThe narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.
Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.
TV & Start Time
What channel is the Food City 500 on?
The Food City 500 airs on FS1 on Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, broadcast from Bristol Motor Speedway. The 2026 NASCAR Cup Series schedule splits between FOX, FS1, TNT, NBC, USA, and Amazon Prime Video.
What time does the NASCAR Cup race start this race weekend?
The Food City 500 ran on Sunday, April 12, 2026 with a 3:00 PM ET green flag on FS1.
NR-Rating Track Rankings
| # | Driver | Elo Rating | Last Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 1656 | P3 |
| 2 | Ryan Blaney | 1648 | P2 |
| 3 | Denny Hamlin | 1623 | P9 |
| 4 | Christopher Bell | 1594 | P27 |
| 5 | Joey Logano | 1577 | P7 |
| 6 | Chase Elliott | 1575 | P22 |
| 7 | William Byron | 1550 | P30 |
| 8 | Ty Gibbs | 1544 | P1 |
| 9 | Ross Chastain | 1539 | P20 |
| 10 | Brad Keselowski | 1536 | P14 |
NR-Rating Predictions
Last updated: Wed, May 13, 2026, 07:50 AM ET
| # | Driver | Exp. Finish | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin Best in Field | 6.8 | 18.6% |
| 2 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 17.5% |
| 3 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 16.2% |
| 4 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 13.2% |
| 5 | Christopher Bell | 8.6 | 13.2% |
| 6 | Tyler Reddick | 9.9 | 11.5% |
| 7 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 9.5% |
| 8 | William Byron | 10.3 | 8.2% |
| 9 | Ryan Preece | 10.8 | 7.0% |
| 10 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 5.5% |
| 11 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 4.9% |
| 12 | Ty Gibbs | 12.6 | 4.3% |
| 13 | Chase Briscoe | 12.6 | 3.5% |
| 14 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 3.4% |
| 15 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 2.7% |
| 16 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 2.7% |
| 17 | Carson Hocevar | 14.7 | 2.4% |
| 18 | Michael McDowell | 15.0 | 2.1% |
| 19 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 1.7% |
| 20 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 1.3% |
| 21 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 0.8% |
| 22 | Austin Cindric | 17.0 | 0.8% |
| 23 | Todd Gilliland | 17.1 | 0.7% |
| 24 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 0.5% |
| 25 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 0.4% |
| 26 | Josh Berry | 19.0 | 0.4% |
| 27 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.1 | 0.3% |
| 28 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 0.3% |
| 29 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 0.3% |
| 30 | Connor Zilisch | 21.2 | 0.2% |
| 31 | Zane Smith | 20.2 | 0.2% |
| 32 | Chad Finchum | 22.1 | 0.1% |
| 33 | Noah Gragson | 23.0 | 0.1% |
| 34 | Riley Herbst | 22.1 | 0.1% |
| 35 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 0.1% |
| 36 | Ty Dillon | 24.3 | 0.1% |
| 37 | Cody Ware | 29.8 | 0.0% |
Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning — higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.
Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)
Prediction Scorecard
Go Bowling at The Glen: Model picked Chase Elliott at P1 → Actual P24
(1/5 top-5 hits)
38% top-5 hit rate across 11 races
Starting Lineup
| Grid | # | Driver |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | Ryan Blaney |
| 2 | 45 | Tyler Reddick |
| 3 | 19 | Chase Briscoe |
| 4 | 35 | Riley Herbst |
| 5 | 54 | Ty Gibbs |
| 6 | 1 | Ross Chastain |
| 7 | 17 | Chris Buescher |
| 8 | 5 | Kyle Larson |
| 9 | 2 | Austin Cindric |
| 10 | 77 | Carson Hocevar |
| 11 | 11 | Denny Hamlin |
| 12 | 23 | Bubba Wallace |
| 13 | 7 | Daniel Suarez |
| 14 | 20 | Christopher Bell |
| 15 | 38 | Zane Smith |
| 16 | 4 | Noah Gragson |
| 17 | 60 | Ryan Preece |
| 18 | 9 | Chase Elliott |
| 19 | 71 | Michael McDowell |
| 20 | 22 | Joey Logano |
| 21 | 6 | Brad Keselowski |
| 22 | 16 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 23 | 47 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 24 | 3 | Austin Dillon |
| 25 | 21 | Josh Berry |
| 26 | 88 | Connor Zilisch # |
| 27 | 48 | Alex Bowman |
| 28 | 43 | Erik Jones |
| 29 | 8 | Kyle Busch |
| 30 | 41 | Cole Custer |
| 31 | 42 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 32 | 10 | Ty Dillon |
| 33 | 97 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 34 | 24 | William Byron |
| 35 | 34 | Todd Gilliland |
| 36 | 51 | Cody Ware |
| 37 | 66 | Chad Finchum (i) |
History at Bristol Motor Speedway
Cup Series data from 1949-2026 (29 races)
Recent Results
| Year | Race | Winner |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Food City 500 | Ty Gibbs |
| 2025 | Bass Pro Shops Night Race | Christopher Bell |
| 2025 | Food City 500 | Kyle Larson |
| 2024 | Bass Pro Shops Night Race | Kyle Larson |
| 2024 | Food City 500 | Denny Hamlin |
All Results at This Track
Laps Led Leaders
| Driver | Total Laps Led |
|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | 2148 |
| Kyle Busch | 1237 |
| Brad Keselowski | 932 |
| Denny Hamlin | 921 |
| Joey Logano | 835 |
Track Type Tendencies
Bristol Motor Speedway is a short track where driver skill and aggression take center stage. Passing requires contact, tempers run hot, and strategy around restarts and pit timing can make or break a race.
Short tracks historically produce the most lead changes and the closest finishes.
Fantasy
High laps-led totals at this track
Strong avg finish but no wins — lower ownership