O'Reilly Series Preview Saturday, November 7, 2026

NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Championship Race

Homestead-Miami Speedway

Laps 200 Distance 300 mi Type intermediate Coverage CW · 5:00 PM ET

1.5

asphalt

Surface

Race Date

Saturday, November 7, 2026

5:00 PM ET

Pre-Race Race Day Post-Race

The Hook

Your watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.

Your Drivers' Outlook

Historical Context

Denny Hamlin has 27 starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with 3 wins and a 10.5 average finish.
Chase Briscoe has 10 starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with 2 wins and a 11.2 average finish.
Ryan Blaney has 18 starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 13.6 average finish.

Based on O'Reilly Series results at Homestead-Miami Speedway from 1982-2026.

The Story

The narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.

The Data

Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.

TV & Start Time

What channel is the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Championship Race on?

The NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Championship Race airs on CW on Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, broadcast from Homestead-Miami Speedway. All 2026 NASCAR Xfinity (O'Reilly Auto Parts) Series races air exclusively on The CW, which is free over-the-air with a digital antenna.

What time does the NASCAR Xfinity race start today?

The NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Championship Race green flag is set for 5:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 7, 2026, airing on CW. All NASCAR start times are listed in Eastern Time.

NR-Rating Track Rankings

#	Driver	Badge	Elo Rating	Starts	Wins	Last Finish
1	Denny Hamlin	Prev Winner	1679	14	2	P5(2025)
2	Chase Briscoe		1605	5	0	P4(2025)
3	Chris Buescher		1579	10	0	P6(2025)
4	Ryan Blaney		1568	11	0	P36(2025)
5	Chase Elliott		1560	10	0	P18(2025)
6	Christopher Bell	Prev Winner	1559	6	1	P29(2025)
7	William Byron	Prev Winner	1555	8	1	P12(2025)
8	Tyler Reddick	Prev Winner	1544	6	1	P8(2025)
9	Bubba Wallace		1544	7	0	P3(2025)
10	Daniel Suarez		1526	9	0	P22(2025)

NR-Rating: Elo-based rating from the NR-Rating prediction model. Higher = stronger at this track type. = Previous winner at this track

NR-Rating Predictions

Last updated: Sun, Aug 16, 2026, 07:09 AM ET

#	Driver	Tier	Exp. Finish	Win %	Top 5 %	Top 10 %
1	Denny Hamlin Best in Field	Favorite	6.2	18.2%	58.6%	76.5%
2	Chase Briscoe	Favorite	7.8	17.8%	58.4%	76.5%
3	Ryan Blaney	Favorite	8.2	16.3%	55.9%	74.6%
4	Chris Buescher	Favorite	9.2	15.4%	54.1%	72.9%
5	Christopher Bell	Favorite	9.2	12.8%	49.3%	69.3%
6	Chase Elliott	Favorite	10.1	11.0%	46.4%	67.2%
7	Ty Gibbs	Contender	10.7	9.9%	43.9%	65.4%
8	William Byron	Contender	10.7	8.7%	41.6%	63.4%
9	Tyler Reddick	Contender	11.2	7.7%	38.1%	60.3%
10	Joey Logano	Contender	11.9	6.7%	35.8%	58.9%
11	Daniel Suarez	Contender	12.7	5.5%	33.7%	57.5%
12	Bubba Wallace	Contender	12.7	5.2%	31.7%	56.0%
13	Kyle Larson	Contender	13.1	4.5%	28.6%	53.7%
14	Carson Hocevar	Contender	13.2	3.9%	26.3%	50.8%
15	Ryan Preece	Mid-Pack	13.3	3.6%	24.9%	50.1%
16	Ross Chastain	Mid-Pack	14.5	3.1%	21.7%	47.6%
17	Erik Jones	Mid-Pack	14.7	2.8%	19.3%	44.4%
18	Austin Cindric	Mid-Pack	15.4	2.2%	16.4%	40.4%
19	Brad Keselowski	Mid-Pack	15.4	2.2%	16.4%	40.4%
20	Alex Bowman	Mid-Pack	16.2	1.7%	13.6%	36.6%
21	Michael McDowell	Mid-Pack	16.9	1.3%	12.4%	34.0%
22	A.J. Allmendinger	Mid-Pack	17.1	0.9%	10.1%	30.1%
23	Shane van Gisbergen	Mid-Pack	18.3	0.7%	8.9%	27.7%
24	John Hunter Nemechek	Mid-Pack	18.3	0.7%	8.1%	25.7%
25	Zane Smith	Mid-Pack	18.3	0.5%	7.3%	24.6%
26	Todd Gilliland	Mid-Pack	19.1	0.5%	6.6%	22.7%
27	Casey Mears	Dark Horse	19.1	0.5%	6.1%	21.9%
28	Austin Dillon	Dark Horse	19.9	0.4%	5.5%	20.9%
29	Riley Herbst	Dark Horse	19.9	0.3%	5.0%	19.7%
30	Kevin Magnussen	Dark Horse	19.9	0.3%	4.7%	18.4%
31	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	Dark Horse	19.9	0.3%	4.6%	18.6%
32	Jimmie Johnson	Dark Horse	19.9	0.3%	4.1%	16.9%
33	Noah Gragson	Dark Horse	22.9	0.1%	2.0%	11.0%
34	Josh Berry	Dark Horse	21.4	0.1%	2.4%	13.1%
35	Ty Dillon	Dark Horse	22.9	0.1%	1.9%	10.4%
36	Cole Custer	Dark Horse	22.0	0.1%	2.0%	11.7%
37	Katherine Legge	Dark Horse	22.2	0.1%	2.1%	12.0%
38	B.J. McLeod	Dark Horse	24.7	0.1%	1.3%	7.8%
39	Connor Zilisch	Dark Horse	26.1	0.0%	0.5%	5.3%
40	Cody Ware	Dark Horse	57.0	0.0%	0.1%	1.3%

Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning, higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.

Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)

Prediction Scorecard

Anduril 250: Model picked Chase Elliott at P1 → Actual P12

(1/5 top-5 hits)

37% top-5 hit rate across 13 races

History at Homestead-Miami Speedway

O'Reilly Series data from 1982-2026 (15 races)

Recent Results

Year	Race	Winner	Margin	Laps Led
2025	NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami	Justin Allgaier	—	21
2024	NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami	Austin Hill	—	82
2023	NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami	Sam Mayer	—	46
2022	NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami	Noah Gragson	—	127
2021	NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami	Myatt Snider	—	5

All Results at This Track

2025 Allgaier 2024 Hill 2023 Mayer 2022 Gragson 2021 Snider 2020 Briscoe 2020 Burton 2019 Reddick 2018 Reddick 2017 Custer 2016 Suarez 2015 Larson 2014 Kenseth 2013 Keselowski 2012 Smith

Laps Led Leaders

Driver	Total Laps Led
Cole Custer	473
Kyle Larson	438
Daniel Suarez	133
Austin Hill	103
Austin Dillon	82

Track Type Tendencies

intermediate

Intermediate tracks like Homestead-Miami Speedway reward the complete package: car setup, pit strategy, and driver consistency all factor in. These are the races where elite teams separate themselves.

Track position and tire management are critical, especially in long green-flag runs.