Allstate 400 at the Brickyard

Indianapolis Motor Speedway — August 6, 2006

Jimmie Johnson

Winner

160

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Jimmie Johnson won the 2006 Allstate 400 at the Brickyard at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on August 6, 2006, leading 33 of 160 laps. Matt Kenseth finished second; Kevin Harvick rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Sunday, August 6, 2006

Track

Indianapolis Motor Speedway

Season

2006

Winner

Jimmie Johnson

Leaders

9 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	5	+4	Jimmie Johnson		160	—	Running	33	185
2	20	+18	Matt Kenseth		160	—	Running	9	175
3	10	+7	Kevin Harvick		160	—	Running	18	170
4	2	-2	Clint Bowyer		160	—	Running	—	160
5	19	+14	Mark Martin		160	—	Running	—	155
6	31	+25	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.		160	—	Running	—	150
7	37	+30	Kyle Busch		160	—	Running	8	151
8	32	+24	Tony Stewart		160	—	Running	—	142
9	22	+13	Carl Edwards		160	—	Running	—	138
10	14	+4	Denny Hamlin		160	—	Running	—	134
11	13	+2	Tony Raines	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	130
12	3	-9	Kurt Busch	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	127
13	8	-5	Ryan Newman	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	124
14	11	-3	Ken Schrader		160	—	Running	—	121
15	1	-14	Jeff Burton		160	—	Running	87	128
16	16	—	Jeff Gordon		160	—	Running	—	115
17	30	+13	Brian Vickers		160	—	Running	2	117
18	24	+6	David Stremme	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	109
19	23	+4	Martin Truex, Jr.		160	—	Running	—	106
20	34	+14	Scott Wimmer		160	—	Running	—	103
21	12	-9	Scott Riggs		160	—	Running	—	100
22	26	+4	Bill Elliott		160	—	Running	—	97
23	39	+16	Casey Mears	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	94
24	21	-3	Joe Nemechek		160	—	Running	1	96
25	36	+11	Travis Kvapil		160	—	Running	—	88
26	18	-8	Jamie McMurray		160	—	Running	—	85
27	40	+13	Kyle Petty	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	82
28	35	+7	Dale Jarrett		160	—	Running	—	79
29	42	+13	Dave Blaney	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	76
30	41	+11	Reed Sorenson	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	73
31	33	+2	Sterling Marlin		160	—	Running	—	70
32	28	-4	Kenny Wallace		160	—	Running	1	72
33	7	-26	Greg Biffle		160	—	Running	—	64
34	6	-28	J.J. Yeley		160	—	Running	—	61
35	9	-26	Robby Gordon		160	—	Running	—	58
36	4	-32	Kasey Kahne	Dodge	159	—	Running	1	60
37	17	-20	Mike Skinner	Dodge	159	—	Running	—	52
38	29	-9	Jeff Green		159	—	Running	—	49
39	25	-14	Chad Chaffin		158	—	Running	—	46
40	38	-2	Bobby Labonte	Dodge	135	—	DNF	—	43
41	15	-26	Jeremy Mayfield	Dodge	82	—	DNF	—	40
42	43	+1	Boris Said		19	—	DNF	—	37
43	27	-16	Elliott Sadler		3	—	DNF	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.6 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Jimmie Johnson	19.9	1	+18.9	Moderate
7	Kyle Busch	17.0	7	+10.0	Coinflip
10	Denny Hamlin	8.2	10	-1.8	High Confidence
19	Martin Truex, Jr.	15.4	19	-3.6	Coinflip
23	Casey Mears	16.9	23	-6.1	Coinflip
34	J.J. Yeley	28.8	34	-5.2	High Confidence

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Jimmie Johnson: has 16 career starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 14.5 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 19 career starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 14.5 avg finish, finishing P10 on the day.

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