USG Sheetrock 400

Chicagoland Speedway — July 9, 2006

Jeff Gordon

Winner

270

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Jeff Gordon won the 2006 USG Sheetrock 400 at Chicagoland Speedway on July 9, 2006, leading 20 of 270 laps. Jeff Burton finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Sunday, July 9, 2006

Track

Chicagoland Speedway

Season

2006

Winner

Jeff Gordon

Leaders

10 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	13	+12	Jeff Gordon		270	—	Running	20	185
2	1	-1	Jeff Burton		270	—	Running	60	175
3	23	+20	Kyle Busch		270	—	Running	2	170
4	4	—	Kevin Harvick		270	—	Running	40	165
5	25	+20	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.		270	—	Running	27	160
6	5	-1	Jimmie Johnson		270	—	Running	—	150
7	18	+11	Reed Sorenson	Dodge	270	—	Running	6	151
8	19	+11	Kurt Busch	Dodge	270	—	Running	—	142
9	38	+29	Clint Bowyer		270	—	Running	—	138
10	10	—	J.J. Yeley		270	—	Running	—	134
11	27	+16	Greg Biffle		270	—	Running	—	130
12	6	-6	Bobby Labonte	Dodge	270	—	Running	1	132
13	2	-11	Brian Vickers		270	—	Running	—	124
14	7	-7	Denny Hamlin		270	—	Running	—	121
15	14	-1	Scott Riggs		270	—	Running	—	118
16	29	+13	Martin Truex, Jr.		270	—	Running	—	115
17	15	-2	Dave Blaney	Dodge	270	—	Running	—	112
18	9	-9	Mark Martin		270	—	Running	1	114
19	30	+11	Robby Gordon		270	—	Running	—	106
20	21	+1	Carl Edwards		270	—	Running	—	103
21	20	-1	David Stremme	Dodge	270	—	Running	—	100
22	8	-14	Matt Kenseth		270	—	Running	112	107
23	3	-20	Kasey Kahne	Dodge	270	—	Running	—	94
24	16	-8	Jeremy Mayfield	Dodge	270	—	Running	—	91
25	11	-14	Casey Mears	Dodge	270	—	Running	—	88
26	31	+5	Sterling Marlin		269	—	Running	—	85
27	22	-5	Jeff Green		269	—	Running	—	82
28	33	+5	Kyle Petty	Dodge	269	—	Running	—	79
29	32	+3	Elliott Sadler		269	—	Running	—	76
30	36	+6	Michael Waltrip	Dodge	269	—	Running	—	73
31	41	+10	Dale Jarrett		269	—	Running	—	70
32	34	+2	Tony Stewart		269	—	Running	1	72
33	17	-16	Joe Nemechek		268	—	Running	—	64
34	28	-6	Scott Wimmer		268	—	Running	—	61
35	24	-11	Bill Elliott		268	—	Running	—	58
36	12	-24	Ryan Newman	Dodge	268	—	Running	—	55
37	43	+6	Travis Kvapil		268	—	Running	—	52
38	37	-1	Kenny Wallace		268	—	Running	—	49
39	42	+3	Jamie McMurray		268	—	Running	—	46
40	39	-1	Tony Raines	Dodge	267	—	Running	—	43
41	35	-6	Todd Kluever		267	—	Running	—	40
42	40	-2	Ken Schrader		266	—	Running	—	37
43	26	-17	Terry Labonte		167	—	DNF	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
3	Kyle Busch	17.0	3	+14.0	Coinflip
6	Jimmie Johnson	19.9	6	+13.9	Moderate
10	J.J. Yeley	28.8	10	+18.8	High Confidence
14	Denny Hamlin	8.2	14	-5.8	High Confidence
16	Martin Truex, Jr.	15.4	16	-0.6	Coinflip
25	Casey Mears	16.9	25	-8.1	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Jeff Gordon: has 15 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 11.1 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 19 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 14.4 avg finish (1 win), finishing P14 on the day.
J.J. Yeley: was the biggest surprise, finishing P10 vs predicted P29. Track history: 22 starts, 23.8 avg finish.

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