Pepsi 400

Daytona International Speedway — July 1, 2006

Tony Stewart

Winner

160

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Tony Stewart won the 2006 Pepsi 400 at Daytona International Speedway on July 1, 2006, leading 86 of 160 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Kurt Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 15 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, July 1, 2006

Track

Daytona International Speedway

Season

2006

Winner

Tony Stewart

Leaders

15 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	2	+1	Tony Stewart		160	—	Running	86	190
2	14	+12	Kyle Busch		160	—	Running	—	170
3	16	+13	Kurt Busch	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	165
4	1	-3	Boris Said		160	—	Running	9	165
5	10	+5	Matt Kenseth		160	—	Running	1	160
6	13	+7	Elliott Sadler		160	—	Running	—	150
7	40	+33	Casey Mears	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	146
8	26	+18	Jamie McMurray		160	—	Running	—	142
9	32	+23	Kevin Harvick		160	—	Running	1	143
10	30	+20	Clint Bowyer		160	—	Running	—	134
11	23	+12	Ryan Newman	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	130
12	31	+19	Ken Schrader		160	—	Running	—	127
13	35	+22	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.		160	—	Running	8	129
14	25	+11	Robby Gordon		160	—	Running	4	126
15	39	+24	Jeff Burton		160	—	Running	—	118
16	3	-13	David Stremme	Dodge	160	—	Running	2	120
17	6	-11	Denny Hamlin		160	—	Running	—	112
18	17	-1	Brian Vickers		160	—	Running	13	114
19	5	-14	Joe Nemechek		160	—	Running	—	106
20	28	+8	Scott Riggs		160	—	Running	—	103
21	21	—	Tony Raines	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	100
22	7	-15	Dale Jarrett		160	—	Running	1	102
23	18	-5	Mike Wallace	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	94
24	20	-4	Sterling Marlin		160	—	Running	—	91
25	38	+13	Kasey Kahne	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	88
26	36	+10	Jeff Green		160	—	Running	—	85
27	41	+14	Dave Blaney	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	82
28	33	+5	Kyle Petty	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	79
29	8	-21	Martin Truex, Jr.		160	—	Running	3	81
30	15	-15	Travis Kvapil		160	—	Running	—	73
31	12	-19	Greg Biffle		160	—	Running	1	75
32	9	-23	Jimmie Johnson		160	—	Running	—	67
33	24	-9	Mark Martin		160	—	Running	—	64
34	37	+3	Reed Sorenson	Dodge	160	—	Running	1	66
35	43	+8	Chad Chaffin		159	—	Running	—	58
36	42	+6	Jeremy Mayfield	Dodge	159	—	Running	—	55
37	11	-26	J.J. Yeley		158	—	Running	1	57
38	19	-19	Michael Waltrip	Dodge	158	—	Running	—	49
39	29	-10	Carl Edwards		156	—	Running	2	51
40	4	-36	Jeff Gordon		154	—	Running	27	48
41	22	-19	Hermie Sadler		154	—	Running	—	40
42	34	-8	Bobby Labonte	Dodge	146	—	Running	—	37
43	27	-16	Kirk Shelmerdine		28	—	DNF	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.9 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
2	Kyle Busch	15.1	2	+13.1	Coinflip
7	Casey Mears	18.5	7	+11.5	Coinflip
17	Denny Hamlin	16.0	17	-1.0	Coinflip
29	Martin Truex, Jr.	20.1	29	-8.9	Coinflip
32	Jimmie Johnson	18.9	32	-13.1	Coinflip
37	J.J. Yeley	25.2	37	-11.8	High Confidence

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Tony Stewart: has 47 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.5 avg finish (9 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Kyle Busch: was the model’s top pick based on 69 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 17.3 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P15. Track history: 69 starts, 17.3 avg finish.

Track Preview →