Carquest Auto Parts 300

Charlotte Motor Speedway — January 1, 2006

Carl Edwards
Winner
200
Laps
43
Entries
12
Leaders

Carl Edwards won the 2006 Carquest Auto Parts 300 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on January 1, 2006, leading 14 of 200 laps. Kurt Busch finished second; J.J. Yeley rounded out the podium. The race featured 12 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, January 1, 2006
Season
2006
Winner
Leaders
12 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 9 +8 Carl Edwards
2 7 +5 Kurt Busch
3 12 +9 J.J. Yeley
4 6 +2 Casey Mears
5 18 +13 Martin Truex Jr.
6 13 +7 Jeff Burton
7 28 +21 Jimmie Johnson
8 5 -3 Kevin Harvick
9 23 +14 Todd Kluever
10 30 +20 Regan Smith
11 25 +14 Johnny Sauter
12 19 +7 Greg Biffle
13 3 -10 Kenny Wallace
14 24 +10 David Green
15 15 Dave Blaney
16 11 -5 Kasey Kahne
17 20 +3 John Andretti
18 32 +14 Jason Leffler
19 14 -5 Elliott Sadler
20 35 +15 Michael Waltrip
21 22 +1 Reed Sorenson
22 34 +12 Danny O'Quinn Jr.
23 16 -7 Kyle Busch
24 21 -3 Paul Menard
25 38 +13 Scott Wimmer
26 41 +15 Burney Lamar
27 37 +10 Tim Sauter
28 42 +14 Ashton Lewis
29 8 -21 Denny Hamlin
30 26 -4 Stacy Compton
31 40 +9 Boris Said
32 4 -28 Mark Martin
33 36 +3 Mark McFarland
34 39 +5 Mike Wallace
35 43 +8 Randy LaJoie
36 17 -19 Clint Bowyer
37 29 -8 Jon Wood
38 1 -37 Matt Kenseth
39 31 -8 Jay Sauter
40 27 -13 Robby Gordon
41 33 -8 Morgan Shepherd
42 10 -32 Tony Stewart
43 2 -41 Jamie McMurray
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 14.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
3 J.J. Yeley 28.8 3 +25.8
4 Casey Mears 16.9 4 +12.9
5 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 5 +10.4
7 Jimmie Johnson 19.9 7 +12.9
23 Kyle Busch 17.0 23 -6.0
29 Denny Hamlin 8.2 29 -20.8

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Carl Edwards: has 28 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 12.1 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 39 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P29 on the day.
  • J.J. Yeley: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P29. Track history: 39 starts, 28.7 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2006 Carquest Auto Parts 300?
Carl Edwards won the 2006 Carquest Auto Parts 300 at Charlotte Motor Speedway driving for Roush Racing.
Where was the 2006 Carquest Auto Parts 300 held?
The 2006 Carquest Auto Parts 300 was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on January 1, 2006.