USG Durock 300

Chicagoland Speedway — January 1, 2006

Casey Mears

Winner

200

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Casey Mears won the 2006 USG Durock 300 at Chicagoland Speedway on January 1, 2006, leading 47 of 200 laps. Carl Edwards finished second; Jeff Burton rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Sunday, January 1, 2006

Track

Chicagoland Speedway

Season

2006

Winner

Casey Mears

Leaders

7 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Team	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	7	+6	Casey Mears	Chip Ganassi Racing	Dodge	200	—	Running	47	185
2	1	-1	Carl Edwards	Roush Racing		200	—	Running	53	175
3	16	+13	Jeff Burton	Richard Childress Racing		200	—	Running	3	170
4	9	+5	Kevin Harvick	Richard Childress Racing		200	—	Running	—	160
5	6	+1	Matt Kenseth	Roush Racing		200	—	Running	13	160
6	3	-3	Kurt Busch	Penske Racing South	Dodge	200	—	Running	79	160
7	20	+13	Clint Bowyer	Richard Childress Racing		200	—	Running	2	151
8	4	-4	Reed Sorenson	Chip Ganassi Racing	Dodge	200	—	Running	—	142
9	17	+8	Tony Stewart	Kevin Harvick Inc.		200	—	Running	—	138
10	15	+5	J.J. Yeley	Joe Gibbs Racing		200	—	Running	—	134
11	41	+30	Michael Waltrip	Michael Waltrip Racing	Dodge	200	—	Running	3	135
12	25	+13	Bobby Labonte	Brewco Motorsports		200	—	Running	—	127
13	2	-11	Dave Blaney	Braun Racing		200	—	Running	—	124
14	5	-9	Denny Hamlin	Joe Gibbs Racing		200	—	Running	—	121
15	34	+19	Dale Earnhardt Jr.	Dale Earnhardt Inc.		200	—	Running	—	118
16	10	-6	Martin Truex Jr.	JR Motorsports		200	—	Running	—	115
17	23	+6	Johnny Sauter	Haas CNC Racing		200	—	Running	—	112
18	35	+17	Todd Kluever	Roush Racing		200	—	Running	—	109
19	30	+11	Jason Leffler	Braun Racing		199	—	Running	—	106
20	18	-2	Stacy Compton	JTG Daugherty Racing		199	—	Running	—	103
21	13	-8	Jon Wood	JTG Daugherty Racing		199	—	Running	—	100
22	37	+15	David Green	Brewco Motorsports		199	—	Running	—	97
23	24	+1	Burney Lamar	Kevin Harvick Inc.		199	—	Running	—	94
24	29	+5	Greg Biffle	Roush Racing		198	—	Running	—	91
25	32	+7	John Andretti	ppc Racing		198	—	Running	—	88
26	8	-18	David Gilliland	Clay Andrews Racing		198	—	Running	—	85
27	26	-1	Jay Sauter	Duesenberg and Leik Motorsports		198	—	Running	—	82
28	27	-1	Regan Smith	Team Rensi Motorsports		198	—	Running	—	79
29	14	-15	Kenny Wallace	ppc Racing		198	—	Running	—	76
30	22	-8	Kasey Kahne	Evernham Motorsports	Dodge	197	—	Running	—	73
31	40	+9	Danny O'Quinn Jr.	Roush Racing		197	—	Running	—	70
32	42	+10	Auggie Vidovich	Biagi-DenBeste Racing	Dodge	196	—	Running	—	67
33	31	-2	Tim Sauter	McGill Motorsports		196	—	Running	—	64
34	43	+9	Kertus Davis	JD Motorsports		196	—	Running	—	61
35	36	+1	Ashton Lewis	Team Rensi Motorsports		194	—	Running	—	58
36	28	-8	Jerry Robertson	Furniture Row Racing		185	—	DNF	—	55
37	39	+2	Cale Gale	Phoenix Racing	Dodge	183	—	DNF	—	52
38	38	—	Elliott Sadler	Robert Yates Racing		182	—	Running	—	49
39	19	-20	Paul Menard	Dale Earnhardt Inc.		165	—	DNF - Crash	—	46
40	12	-28	Jamie McMurray	Rusty Wallace Racing	Dodge	122	—	DNF - Crash	—	43
41	21	-20	Tracy Hines	FitzBradshaw Racing	Dodge	91	—	DNF - Crash	—	40
42	11	-31	Kyle Busch	Hendrick Motorsports		79	—	DNF - Engine	—	37
43	33	-10	Kevin Lepage	Frank Cicci Racing		70	—	DNF - Engine	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 13.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Casey Mears	16.9	1	+15.9	Coinflip
10	J.J. Yeley	28.8	10	+18.8	High Confidence
14	Denny Hamlin	8.2	14	-5.8	High Confidence
16	Martin Truex, Jr.	15.4	16	-0.6	Coinflip
42	Kyle Busch	17.0	42	-25.0	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Casey Mears: has 18 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 23.3 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 19 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 14.4 avg finish (1 win), finishing P14 on the day.
J.J. Yeley: was the biggest surprise, finishing P10 vs predicted P29. Track history: 22 starts, 23.8 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2006 USG Durock 300?

Casey Mears won the 2006 USG Durock 300 at Chicagoland Speedway driving for Chip Ganassi Racing.

Where was the 2006 USG Durock 300 held?

The 2006 USG Durock 300 was held at Chicagoland Speedway on January 1, 2006.