NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Bristol

Bristol Motor Speedway — March 16, 2008

Jeff Burton

Winner

506

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Jeff Burton won the 2008 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Bristol at Bristol Motor Speedway on March 16, 2008, leading 2 of 506 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Clint Bowyer rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Sunday, March 16, 2008

Track

Bristol Motor Speedway

Season

2008

Winner

Jeff Burton

Leaders

8 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	8	+7	Jeff Burton		506	—	Running	2	190
2	10	+8	Kevin Harvick		506	—	Running	32	175
3	3	—	Clint Bowyer		506	—	Running	81	170
4	14	+10	Greg Biffle		506	—	Running	—	160
5	15	+10	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.		506	—	Running	—	155
6	12	+6	Denny Hamlin		506	—	Running	98	155
7	20	+13	Kasey Kahne	Dodge	506	—	Running	—	146
8	16	+8	Aric Almirola		506	—	Running	—	142
9	32	+23	David Gilliland		506	—	Running	—	138
10	4	-6	Matt Kenseth		506	—	Running	—	134
11	2	-9	Jeff Gordon		506	—	Running	—	130
12	36	+24	Kurt Busch	Dodge	506	—	Running	—	127
13	11	-2	Martin Truex, Jr.		506	—	Running	—	124
14	6	-8	Tony Stewart		506	—	Running	267	131
15	21	+6	Juan Pablo Montoya	Dodge	505	—	Running	—	118
16	9	-7	Carl Edwards		504	—	Running	—	115
17	22	+5	Kyle Busch		504	—	Running	7	117
18	1	-17	Jimmie Johnson		504	—	Running	14	114
19	27	+8	Elliott Sadler	Dodge	504	—	Running	—	106
20	39	+19	David Reutimann		504	—	Running	—	103
21	24	+3	David Ragan		504	—	Running	—	100
22	31	+9	Scott Riggs		503	—	Running	—	97
23	40	+17	Michael Waltrip		503	—	Running	5	99
24	28	+4	Robby Gordon	Dodge	503	—	Running	—	91
25	25	—	J.J. Yeley		503	—	Running	—	88
26	17	-9	Regan Smith		503	—	Running	—	85
27	30	+3	Travis Kvapil		503	—	Running	—	82
28	35	+7	Kyle Petty	Dodge	501	—	Running	—	79
29	7	-22	Sam Hornish Jr.	Dodge	501	—	Running	—	76
30	33	+3	Jeremy Mayfield		500	—	Running	—	73
31	23	-8	Reed Sorenson	Dodge	500	—	Running	—	70
32	29	-3	Paul Menard		499	—	Running	—	67
33	13	-20	Ryan Newman	Dodge	499	—	Running	—	64
34	34	—	Dave Blaney		498	—	Running	—	61
35	42	+7	Joe Nemechek		498	—	Running	—	58
36	26	-10	Dario Franchitti	Dodge	497	—	Running	—	55
37	37	—	Dale Jarrett		496	—	Running	—	52
38	19	-19	Bobby Labonte	Dodge	489	—	Running	—	49
39	38	-1	Brian Vickers		486	—	Running	—	46
40	43	+3	Mike Skinner		441	—	Running	—	43
41	41	—	Ken Schrader		420	—	DNF	—	40
42	5	-37	Casey Mears		417	—	DNF	—	37
43	18	-25	Jamie McMurray		373	—	DNF	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.5 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
2	Kevin Harvick	10.3	2	+8.3	Moderate
6	Denny Hamlin	8.6	6	+2.6	Moderate
8	Aric Almirola	15.0	8	+7.0	Coinflip
13	Martin Truex, Jr.	14.0	13	+1.0	Coinflip
17	Kyle Busch	14.0	17	-3.0	Coinflip
18	Jimmie Johnson	18.3	18	+0.3	Moderate
25	J.J. Yeley	27.3	25	+2.3	High Confidence
33	Ryan Newman	23.1	33	-9.9	High Confidence
42	Casey Mears	17.7	42	-24.3	Moderate

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Jeff Burton: has 56 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 18.6 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 48 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 14.3 avg finish (4 wins), finishing P6 on the day.

Track Preview →