NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Pocono

Pocono Raceway — June 8, 2008

Kasey Kahne

Winner

200

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Kasey Kahne won the 2008 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Pocono at Pocono Raceway on June 8, 2008, leading 69 of 200 laps. Brian Vickers finished second; Denny Hamlin rounded out the podium. The race featured 12 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Sunday, June 8, 2008

Track

Pocono Raceway

Season

2008

Winner

Kasey Kahne

Leaders

12 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	1	—	Kasey Kahne	Dodge	200	—	Running	69	195
2	15	+13	Brian Vickers		200	—	Running	18	175
3	16	+13	Denny Hamlin		200	—	Running	17	170
4	7	+3	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.		200	—	Running	—	160
5	20	+15	Jeff Burton		200	—	Running	—	155
6	2	-4	Jimmie Johnson		200	—	Running	59	155
7	13	+6	Matt Kenseth		200	—	Running	2	151
8	11	+3	Kurt Busch	Dodge	200	—	Running	—	142
9	6	-3	Carl Edwards		200	—	Running	2	143
10	3	-7	Mark Martin		200	—	Running	—	134
11	37	+26	Bobby Labonte	Dodge	200	—	Running	—	130
12	8	-4	A.J. Allmendinger		200	—	Running	—	127
13	28	+15	Kevin Harvick		200	—	Running	—	124
14	38	+24	Jeff Gordon		200	—	Running	—	121
15	33	+18	Greg Biffle		200	—	Running	4	123
16	42	+26	David Gilliland		200	—	Running	—	115
17	25	+8	Martin Truex, Jr.		200	—	Running	2	117
18	27	+9	Ryan Newman	Dodge	200	—	Running	—	109
19	36	+17	David Reutimann		200	—	Running	—	106
20	22	+2	Jamie McMurray		200	—	Running	—	103
21	9	-12	Scott Riggs		200	—	Running	6	105
22	32	+10	Dave Blaney		200	—	Running	1	102
23	23	—	Travis Kvapil		200	—	Running	—	94
24	30	+6	David Ragan		200	—	Running	—	91
25	17	-8	Paul Menard		200	—	Running	—	88
26	34	+8	Casey Mears		200	—	Running	—	85
27	39	+12	Michael McDowell		200	—	Running	—	82
28	4	-24	Regan Smith		200	—	Running	—	79
29	5	-24	Joe Nemechek		200	—	Running	—	76
30	43	+13	Terry Labonte	Dodge	200	—	Running	—	73
31	29	-2	Bill Elliott		200	—	Running	—	70
32	24	-8	Patrick Carpentier	Dodge	200	—	Running	—	67
33	31	-2	Reed Sorenson	Dodge	200	—	Running	—	64
34	18	-16	Elliott Sadler	Dodge	200	—	Running	6	66
35	12	-23	Tony Stewart		199	—	Running	14	63
36	40	+4	Robby Gordon	Dodge	199	—	Running	—	55
37	19	-18	Michael Waltrip		199	—	Running	—	52
38	21	-17	Juan Pablo Montoya	Dodge	157	—	DNF	—	49
39	35	-4	Clint Bowyer		155	—	DNF	—	46
40	26	-14	Jason Leffler		140	—	DNF	—	43
41	14	-27	Dario Franchitti	Dodge	137	—	DNF	—	40
42	41	-1	Sam Hornish Jr.	Dodge	130	—	DNF	—	37
43	10	-33	Kyle Busch		95	—	DNF	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
3	Denny Hamlin	8.2	3	+5.2	High Confidence
6	Jimmie Johnson	19.9	6	+13.9	Moderate
12	A.J. Allmendinger	18.3	12	+6.3	Moderate
13	Kevin Harvick	11.2	13	-1.8	Coinflip
17	Martin Truex, Jr.	15.4	17	-1.6	Coinflip
26	Casey Mears	17.1	26	-8.9	Coinflip
27	Michael McDowell	16.7	27	-10.3	Coinflip
43	Kyle Busch	17.0	43	-26.0	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Kasey Kahne: has 30 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 18.0 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 38 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 10.5 avg finish (7 wins), finishing P3 on the day.
Jimmie Johnson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P20. Track history: 37 starts, 12.4 avg finish.

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