NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Charlotte
Charlotte Motor Speedway — May 29, 2011
Kevin Harvick
Winner
402
Laps
43
Entries
19
Leaders
Kevin Harvick won the 2011 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 29, 2011, leading 2 of 402 laps. David Ragan finished second; Joey Logano rounded out the podium. The race featured 19 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, May 29, 2011
Track
Season
2011
Winner
Leaders
19 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | +27 | Kevin Harvick |
| 2 | 8 | +6 | David Ragan |
| 3 | 23 | +20 | Joey Logano |
| 4 | 26 | +22 | Kurt Busch |
| 5 | 2 | -3 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 6 | 24 | +18 | Marcos Ambrose |
| 7 | 25 | +18 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 8 | 20 | +12 | Regan Smith |
| 9 | 7 | -2 | David Reutimann |
| 10 | 4 | -6 | Denny Hamlin |
| 11 | 9 | -2 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 12 | 29 | +17 | Juan Pablo Montoya |
| 13 | 15 | +2 | Greg Biffle |
| 14 | 19 | +5 | Matt Kenseth |
| 15 | 10 | -5 | Clint Bowyer |
| 16 | 3 | -13 | Carl Edwards |
| 17 | 22 | +5 | Tony Stewart |
| 18 | 18 | — | Brian Vickers |
| 19 | 1 | -18 | Brad Keselowski |
| 20 | 11 | -9 | Jeff Gordon |
| 21 | 5 | -16 | Jeff Burton |
| 22 | 17 | -5 | Kasey Kahne |
| 23 | 37 | +14 | Casey Mears |
| 24 | 27 | +3 | Bobby Labonte |
| 25 | 31 | +6 | Travis Kvapil |
| 26 | 14 | -12 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 27 | 42 | +15 | Dave Blaney |
| 28 | 6 | -22 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 29 | 16 | -13 | Paul Menard |
| 30 | 39 | +9 | Mike Bliss |
| 31 | 12 | -19 | Ryan Newman |
| 32 | 21 | -11 | Kyle Busch |
| 33 | 30 | -3 | David Gilliland |
| 34 | 13 | -21 | Mark Martin |
| 35 | 40 | +5 | Landon Cassill |
| 36 | 32 | -4 | David Starr |
| 37 | 35 | -2 | Jamie McMurray |
| 38 | 41 | +3 | Robby Gordon |
| 39 | 33 | -6 | Michael McDowell |
| 40 | 38 | -2 | David Stremme |
| 41 | 36 | -5 | Joe Nemechek |
| 42 | 34 | -8 | J.J. Yeley |
| 43 | 43 | — | Mike Skinner |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 12 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 3 | +11.7 |
| 5 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 5 | +13.3 |
| 10 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 10 | -1.8 |
| 11 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 11 | +8.9 |
| 19 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 19 | -7.8 |
| 23 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 23 | -6.1 |
| 26 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 26 | -10.6 |
| 28 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 28 | -8.1 |
| 32 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 32 | -15.0 |
| 36 | David Starr | 20.9 | 36 | -15.1 |
| 39 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 39 | -22.0 |
| 42 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 42 | -13.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kevin Harvick: has 52 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 10.5 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 39 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P10 on the day.
- A.J. Allmendinger: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P18. Track history: 27 starts, 17.9 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2011 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Charlotte?
Kevin Harvick won the 2011 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2011 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Charlotte held?
The 2011 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Charlotte was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 29, 2011.