NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Bristol
Bristol Motor Speedway — August 24, 2013
Matt Kenseth
Winner
500
Laps
43
Entries
9
Leaders
Matt Kenseth won the 2013 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Bristol at Bristol Motor Speedway on August 24, 2013, leading 149 of 500 laps. Kasey Kahne finished second; Juan Pablo Montoya rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, August 24, 2013
Track
Season
2013
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +4 | Matt Kenseth |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | Kasey Kahne |
| 3 | 16 | +13 | Juan Pablo Montoya |
| 4 | 4 | — | Brian Vickers |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | Joey Logano |
| 6 | 21 | +15 | Paul Menard |
| 7 | 32 | +25 | Jeff Gordon |
| 8 | 14 | +6 | Marcos Ambrose |
| 9 | 29 | +20 | Greg Biffle |
| 10 | 19 | +9 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 11 | 43 | +32 | Kyle Busch |
| 12 | 17 | +5 | David Ragan |
| 13 | 41 | +28 | Jeff Burton |
| 14 | 24 | +10 | Clint Bowyer |
| 15 | 10 | -5 | Aric Almirola |
| 16 | 39 | +23 | Travis Kvapil |
| 17 | 38 | +21 | David Stremme |
| 18 | 27 | +9 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 19 | 20 | +1 | Jamie McMurray |
| 20 | 11 | -9 | Mark Martin |
| 21 | 8 | -13 | Ryan Newman |
| 22 | 36 | +14 | Dave Blaney |
| 23 | 33 | +10 | Landon Cassill |
| 24 | 34 | +10 | J.J. Yeley |
| 25 | 25 | — | David Gilliland |
| 26 | 22 | -4 | Danica Patrick |
| 27 | 35 | +8 | Ken Schrader |
| 28 | 1 | -27 | Denny Hamlin |
| 29 | 31 | +2 | David Reutimann |
| 30 | 12 | -18 | Brad Keselowski |
| 31 | 2 | -29 | Kurt Busch |
| 32 | 40 | +8 | Tony Raines |
| 33 | 30 | -3 | Casey Mears |
| 34 | 15 | -19 | Kevin Harvick |
| 35 | 9 | -26 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 36 | 13 | -23 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 37 | 28 | -9 | Josh Wise |
| 38 | 23 | -15 | Bobby Labonte |
| 39 | 3 | -36 | Carl Edwards |
| 40 | 42 | +2 | Scott Speed |
| 41 | 26 | -15 | Michael McDowell |
| 42 | 18 | -24 | Ryan Truex |
| 43 | 37 | -6 | Joe Nemechek |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 13.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Joey Logano | 10.8 | 5 | +5.8 |
| 11 | Kyle Busch | 14.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| 15 | Aric Almirola | 15.0 | 15 | 0.0 |
| 18 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 21.0 | 18 | +3.0 |
| 21 | Ryan Newman | 23.1 | 21 | +2.1 |
| 24 | J.J. Yeley | 27.3 | 24 | +3.3 |
| 28 | Denny Hamlin | 8.6 | 28 | -19.4 |
| 30 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 30 | -18.0 |
| 33 | Casey Mears | 17.7 | 33 | -15.3 |
| 34 | Kevin Harvick | 10.3 | 34 | -23.7 |
| 35 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 14.0 | 35 | -21.0 |
| 36 | Jimmie Johnson | 18.3 | 36 | -17.7 |
| 41 | Michael McDowell | 14.0 | 41 | -27.0 |
| 42 | Ryan Truex | 15.6 | 42 | -26.4 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Matt Kenseth: has 57 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 13.8 avg finish (7 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 48 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 14.3 avg finish (4 wins), finishing P28 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2013 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Bristol?
Matt Kenseth won the 2013 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Bristol at Bristol Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2013 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Bristol held?
The 2013 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Bristol was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on August 24, 2013.