NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT MARTINSVILLE

Martinsville Speedway — March 29, 2015

Denny Hamlin

Winner

500

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Denny Hamlin won the 2015 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT MARTINSVILLE at Martinsville Speedway on March 29, 2015, leading 91 of 500 laps. Brad Keselowski finished second; Joey Logano rounded out the podium. The race featured 13 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Sunday, March 29, 2015

Track

Martinsville Speedway

Season

2015

Winner

Denny Hamlin

Leaders

13 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	15	+14	Denny Hamlin	500	—	Running	91	47
2	12	+10	Brad Keselowski	500	—	Running	18	43
3	1	-2	Joey Logano	500	—	Running	108	42
4	8	+4	Matt Kenseth	500	—	Running	11	41
5	20	+15	David Ragan	500	—	Running	—	39
6	3	-3	Martin Truex, Jr.	500	—	Running	23	39
7	16	+9	Danica Patrick	500	—	Running	—	37
8	17	+9	Kevin Harvick	500	—	Running	154	38
9	4	-5	Jeff Gordon	500	—	Running	21	36
10	19	+9	Jamie McMurray	500	—	Running	—	34
11	9	-2	Kasey Kahne	500	—	Running	29	34
12	18	+6	Aric Almirola	500	—	Running	—	32
13	30	+17	Clint Bowyer	500	—	Running	—	31
14	26	+12	Kurt Busch	500	—	Running	21	31
15	24	+9	Casey Mears	500	—	Running	—	29
16	7	-9	Regan Smith	500	—	Running	—	0
17	11	-6	Carl Edwards	500	—	Running	13	28
18	36	+18	Trevor Bayne	500	—	Running	—	26
19	25	+6	Greg Biffle	500	—	Running	—	25
20	6	-14	Tony Stewart	500	—	Running	8	25
21	34	+13	Landon Cassill	500	—	Running	—	0
22	37	+15	Cole Whitt	499	—	Running	—	22
23	13	-10	Paul Menard	499	—	Running	—	21
24	35	+11	Chris Buescher	499	—	Running	—	0
25	29	+4	David Gilliland	499	—	Running	—	19
26	42	+16	J.J. Yeley	497	—	Running	—	0
27	2	-25	Ryan Newman	496	—	Running	2	18
28	33	+5	Brett Moffitt	496	—	Running	—	16
29	32	+3	Jeb Burton	495	—	Running	—	15
30	31	+1	Josh Wise	495	—	Running	—	14
31	43	+12	Matt DiBenedetto	494	—	Running	—	13
32	38	+6	Sam Hornish Jr.	493	—	Running	—	12
33	41	+8	Alex Kennedy	492	—	Running	—	11
34	40	+6	Mike Bliss	491	—	Running	1	0
35	5	-30	Jimmie Johnson	468	—	Running	—	9
36	14	-22	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.	453	—	Running	—	8
37	39	+2	Alex Bowman	444	—	Running	—	7
38	27	-11	Chase Elliott	427	—	Running	—	0
39	28	-11	Michael Annett	389	—	DNF	—	5
40	23	-17	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	364	—	DNF	—	4
41	22	-19	Austin Dillon	330	—	DNF	—	3
42	21	-21	Justin Allgaier	328	—	DNF	—	2
43	10	-33	A.J. Allmendinger	177	—	DNF	—	1

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 15.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Denny Hamlin	6.8	1	+5.8	High Confidence
2	Brad Keselowski	12.0	2	+10.0	Coinflip
3	Joey Logano	12.1	3	+9.1	Coinflip
6	Martin Truex, Jr.	13.8	6	+7.8	Coinflip
15	Casey Mears	18.0	15	+3.0	Moderate
24	Chris Buescher	10.3	24	-13.7	Moderate
26	J.J. Yeley	28.1	26	+2.1	High Confidence
35	Jimmie Johnson	17.7	35	-17.3	Moderate
37	Alex Bowman	14.0	37	-23.0	Coinflip
38	Chase Elliott	8.3	38	-29.7	High Confidence
40	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	20.1	40	-19.9	Moderate
41	Austin Dillon	17.0	41	-24.0	Coinflip
42	Justin Allgaier	17.7	42	-24.3	Moderate
43	A.J. Allmendinger	18.3	43	-24.7	Moderate

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.