NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT POCONO
Pocono Raceway — July 31, 2016
Chris Buescher
Winner
138
Laps
40
Entries
11
Leaders
Chris Buescher won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT POCONO at Pocono Raceway on July 31, 2016, leading 12 of 138 laps. Brad Keselowski finished second; Regan Smith rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, July 31, 2016
Track
Season
2016
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | +21 | Chris Buescher |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | Brad Keselowski |
| 3 | 30 | +27 | Regan Smith |
| 4 | 17 | +13 | Kevin Harvick |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | Tony Stewart |
| 6 | 11 | +5 | Kyle Larson |
| 7 | 4 | -3 | Denny Hamlin |
| 8 | 2 | -6 | Carl Edwards |
| 9 | 16 | +7 | Kyle Busch |
| 10 | 15 | +5 | Kurt Busch |
| 11 | 18 | +7 | Ryan Blaney |
| 12 | 5 | -7 | Ryan Newman |
| 13 | 12 | -1 | Austin Dillon |
| 14 | 13 | -1 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 15 | 23 | +8 | Kasey Kahne |
| 16 | 21 | +5 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 17 | 9 | -8 | Matt Kenseth |
| 18 | 14 | -4 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 19 | 31 | +12 | Trevor Bayne |
| 20 | 19 | -1 | Jamie McMurray |
| 21 | 20 | -1 | Casey Mears |
| 22 | 26 | +4 | Danica Patrick |
| 23 | 29 | +6 | Michael McDowell |
| 24 | 35 | +11 | Brian Scott |
| 25 | 25 | — | Greg Biffle |
| 26 | 28 | +2 | Clint Bowyer |
| 27 | 24 | -3 | Jeff Gordon |
| 28 | 34 | +6 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 29 | 39 | +10 | Michael Annett |
| 30 | 32 | +2 | Landon Cassill |
| 31 | 36 | +5 | Cole Whitt |
| 32 | 33 | +1 | David Ragan |
| 33 | 8 | -25 | Chase Elliott |
| 34 | 38 | +4 | Josh Wise |
| 35 | 3 | -32 | Paul Menard |
| 36 | 37 | +1 | Jeb Burton |
| 37 | 10 | -27 | Joey Logano |
| 38 | 1 | -37 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 39 | 27 | -12 | Aric Almirola |
| 40 | 40 | — | Reed Sorenson |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.6 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 1 | +8.2 |
| 2 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 2 | +9.2 |
| 6 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 6 | +6.7 |
| 7 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 7 | +1.2 |
| 9 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 9 | +8.0 |
| 11 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 11 | -1.8 |
| 13 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 13 | +4.1 |
| 14 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 14 | +4.3 |
| 16 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 16 | +3.9 |
| 18 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 18 | +1.9 |
| 21 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 21 | -4.1 |
| 23 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 23 | -6.0 |
| 33 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 33 | -25.2 |
| 37 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 37 | -22.3 |
| 38 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 38 | -22.6 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Chris Buescher: has 13 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 15.3 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 7.9 avg finish (1 win), finishing P33 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT POCONO?
Chris Buescher won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT POCONO at Pocono Raceway.
Where was the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT POCONO held?
The 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT POCONO was held at Pocono Raceway on July 31, 2016.