NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT POCONO
Pocono Raceway — June 5, 2016
Kurt Busch
Winner
160
Laps
40
Entries
10
Leaders
Kurt Busch won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT POCONO at Pocono Raceway on June 5, 2016, leading 32 of 160 laps. Dale Earnhardt, Jr. finished second; Brad Keselowski rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +8 | Kurt Busch |
| 2 | 8 | +6 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Brad Keselowski |
| 4 | 13 | +9 | Chase Elliott |
| 5 | 2 | -3 | Joey Logano |
| 6 | 11 | +5 | Kasey Kahne |
| 7 | 3 | -4 | Matt Kenseth |
| 8 | 5 | -3 | Carl Edwards |
| 9 | 4 | -5 | Kevin Harvick |
| 10 | 14 | +4 | Ryan Blaney |
| 11 | 21 | +10 | Kyle Larson |
| 12 | 22 | +10 | Ryan Newman |
| 13 | 24 | +11 | Trevor Bayne |
| 14 | 10 | -4 | Denny Hamlin |
| 15 | 25 | +10 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 16 | 32 | +16 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 17 | 26 | +9 | Jamie McMurray |
| 18 | 23 | +5 | Clint Bowyer |
| 19 | 17 | -2 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 20 | 16 | -4 | Aric Almirola |
| 21 | 28 | +7 | Ty Dillon |
| 22 | 35 | +13 | Regan Smith |
| 23 | 34 | +11 | David Ragan |
| 24 | 29 | +5 | Casey Mears |
| 25 | 18 | -7 | Chris Buescher |
| 26 | 15 | -11 | Greg Biffle |
| 27 | 38 | +11 | Josh Wise |
| 28 | 40 | +12 | Reed Sorenson |
| 29 | 39 | +10 | Jeb Burton |
| 30 | 37 | +7 | Cole Whitt |
| 31 | 12 | -19 | Kyle Busch |
| 32 | 33 | +1 | Danica Patrick |
| 33 | 20 | -13 | Paul Menard |
| 34 | 6 | -28 | Tony Stewart |
| 35 | 7 | -28 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 36 | 31 | -5 | Landon Cassill |
| 37 | 19 | -18 | Austin Dillon |
| 38 | 36 | -2 | Michael Annett |
| 39 | 30 | -9 | Brian Scott |
| 40 | 27 | -13 | Matt DiBenedetto |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.7 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 3 | +8.2 |
| 4 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 4 | +3.8 |
| 5 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 5 | +9.7 |
| 10 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 10 | -0.8 |
| 11 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 11 | +1.7 |
| 14 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 14 | -5.8 |
| 15 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 15 | +4.9 |
| 16 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 16 | +2.3 |
| 19 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 19 | -3.6 |
| 21 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 21 | +2.4 |
| 24 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 24 | -7.1 |
| 25 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 25 | -15.8 |
| 31 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 31 | -14.0 |
| 35 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 35 | -15.1 |
| 37 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 37 | -19.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kurt Busch: has 41 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 14.3 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 7.9 avg finish (1 win), finishing P4 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT POCONO?
Kurt Busch won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT POCONO at Pocono Raceway.
Where was the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT POCONO held?
The 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT POCONO was held at Pocono Raceway on June 5, 2016.