Camping World 500
Phoenix Raceway — March 19, 2017
Ryan Newman
Winner
314
Laps
40
Entries
8
Leaders
Ryan Newman won the 2017 Camping World 500 at Phoenix Raceway on March 19, 2017, leading 6 of 314 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | +16 | Ryan Newman |
| 2 | 39 | +37 | Kyle Larson |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | 13 | +9 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 5 | 10 | +5 | Brad Keselowski |
| 6 | 1 | -5 | Kevin Harvick |
| 7 | 20 | +13 | Daniel Suarez |
| 8 | 5 | -3 | Erik Jones |
| 9 | 14 | +5 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 10 | 6 | -4 | Denny Hamlin |
| 11 | 8 | -3 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 12 | 3 | -9 | Chase Elliott |
| 13 | 9 | -4 | Clint Bowyer |
| 14 | 19 | +5 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 15 | 11 | -4 | Jamie McMurray |
| 16 | 27 | +11 | Ty Dillon |
| 17 | — | — | Aric Almirola |
| 18 | 22 | +4 | Austin Dillon |
| 19 | 18 | -1 | Trevor Bayne |
| 20 | 24 | +4 | Kasey Kahne |
| 21 | — | — | Landon Cassill |
| 22 | — | — | Erik Jones |
| 23 | — | — | Denny Hamlin |
| 24 | — | — | Jimmie Johnson |
| 25 | 12 | -13 | Kurt Busch |
| 26 | — | — | Cole Whitt |
| 27 | 29 | +2 | Chris Buescher |
| 28 | — | — | Timmy Hill |
| 29 | — | — | Chase Elliott |
| 30 | 35 | +5 | Reed Sorenson |
| 31 | 23 | -8 | Joey Logano |
| 32 | — | — | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 33 | — | — | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 34 | — | — | Gray Gaulding |
| 35 | — | — | Paul Menard |
| 36 | — | — | Danica Patrick |
| 37 | — | — | Joey Logano |
| 38 | — | — | Aric Almirola |
| 39 | — | — | Derrike Cope |
| 40 | — | — | Ryan Newman |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Busch | 1 | 4 | 2 | 26 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 2 | 1 | 4 | 26 |
| Jimmie Johnson | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 |
| Kurt Busch | 9 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| Kevin Harvick | 3 | 13 | 7 | 12 |
| Denny Hamlin | 21 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
| Erik Jones | 13 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| Kyle Larson | 6 | 9 | 31 | 7 |
| Jamie McMurray | 10 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
| Austin Dillon | 11 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| Daniel Suarez | 16 | 12 | 8 | 3 |
| Clint Bowyer | 8 | 14 | 14 | 3 |
| Dale Earnhardt, Jr. | 15 | 18 | 9 | 2 |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Denny Hamlin | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Whitt | — | — | — | — |
| Timmy Hill | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Elliott | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Jeffrey Earnhardt | — | — | — | — |
| Gray Gaulding | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Menard | — | — | — | — |
| Danica Patrick | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Derrike Cope | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.5 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 2 | +6.6 |
| 3 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 3 | +12.6 |
| 4 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 4 | +16.1 |
| 5 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 5 | +7.0 |
| 7 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 7 | +8.6 |
| 8 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 8 | +9.7 |
| 9 | Jimmie Johnson | 17.7 | 9 | +8.7 |
| 10 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 10 | -3.2 |
| 11 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 11 | +2.8 |
| 12 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 12 | -3.7 |
| 16 | Ty Dillon | 24.3 | 16 | +8.3 |
| 18 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 18 | -1.0 |
| 27 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 27 | -16.7 |
| 28 | Timmy Hill | 24.3 | 28 | -3.7 |
| 31 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 31 | -18.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ryan Newman: has 9 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 17.0 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 29 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 11.5 avg finish (1 win), finishing P10 on the day.
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P20. Track history: 12 starts, 16.5 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 Camping World 500?
Ryan Newman won the 2017 Camping World 500 at Phoenix Raceway driving for Richard Childress Racing.
Where was the 2017 Camping World 500 held?
The 2017 Camping World 500 was held at Phoenix Raceway on March 19, 2017.