GEICO 500
Talladega Superspeedway, May 7, 2017
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Winner
191
Laps
40
Entries
14
Leaders
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the 2017 GEICO 500 at Talladega Superspeedway on May 7, 2017, leading 14 of 191 laps. Jamie McMurray finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 14 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, May 7, 2017
Track
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
14 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 2 | 23 | +21 | Jamie McMurray |
| 3 | 10 | +7 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | 22 | +18 | Aric Almirola |
| 5 | 19 | +14 | Kasey Kahne |
| 6 | 15 | +9 | Kurt Busch |
| 7 | 3 | -4 | Brad Keselowski |
| 8 | 30 | +22 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 9 | 9 | — | Paul Menard |
| 10 | 29 | +19 | David Ragan |
| 11 | 11 | — | Denny Hamlin |
| 12 | 21 | +9 | Kyle Larson |
| 13 | 28 | +15 | Ty Dillon |
| 14 | 17 | +3 | Clint Bowyer |
| 15 | 34 | +19 | Chris Buescher |
| 16 | 38 | +22 | Cole Whitt |
| 17 | 35 | +18 | Elliott Sadler |
| 18 | 26 | +8 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 19 | 7 | -12 | Daniel Suarez |
| 20 | 37 | +17 | Gray Gaulding |
| 21 | 39 | +18 | Joey Gase |
| 22 | 2 | -20 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 23 | 6 | -17 | Kevin Harvick |
| 24 | 4 | -20 | Matt Kenseth |
| 25 | 20 | -5 | Ryan Newman |
| 26 | 32 | +6 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 27 | 36 | +9 | Corey LaJoie |
| 28 | 40 | +12 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 29 | 25 | -4 | Landon Cassill |
| 30 | 8 | -22 | Chase Elliott |
| 31 | 27 | -4 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 32 | 12 | -20 | Joey Logano |
| 33 | 14 | -19 | Erik Jones |
| 34 | 24 | -10 | Michael McDowell |
| 35 | 13 | -22 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 36 | 18 | -18 | Austin Dillon |
| 37 | 5 | -32 | Trevor Bayne |
| 38 | 31 | -7 | Danica Patrick |
| 39 | 16 | -23 | Ryan Blaney |
| 40 | 33 | -7 | Reed Sorenson |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 18 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 18.5 | 1 | +17.5 |
| 7 | Brad Keselowski | 18.5 | 7 | +11.5 |
| 8 | Jimmie Johnson | 20.0 | 8 | +12.0 |
| 11 | Denny Hamlin | 15.1 | 11 | +4.1 |
| 12 | Kyle Larson | 20.1 | 12 | +8.1 |
| 13 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 13 | +9.9 |
| 15 | Chris Buescher | 13.6 | 15 | -1.4 |
| 19 | Daniel Suarez | 15.1 | 19 | -3.9 |
| 21 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 21 | +2.7 |
| 27 | Corey LaJoie | 23.3 | 27 | -3.7 |
| 30 | Chase Elliott | 13.6 | 30 | -16.4 |
| 31 | A.J. Allmendinger | 22.9 | 31 | -8.1 |
| 32 | Joey Logano | 18.5 | 32 | -13.5 |
| 33 | Erik Jones | 16.0 | 33 | -17.0 |
| 34 | Michael McDowell | 19.2 | 34 | -14.8 |
| 35 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 20.5 | 35 | -14.5 |
| 36 | Austin Dillon | 21.1 | 36 | -14.9 |
| 39 | Ryan Blaney | 10.4 | 39 | -28.6 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: has 27 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 14.6 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 28 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 17.3 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P39 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 GEICO 500?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the 2017 GEICO 500 at Talladega Superspeedway driving for Roush Fenway Racing.
Where was the 2017 GEICO 500 held?
The 2017 GEICO 500 was held at Talladega Superspeedway on May 7, 2017.