Camping World 500
Phoenix Raceway, March 19, 2017
Ryan Newman
Winner
314
Laps
39
Entries
8
Leaders
Ryan Newman won the 2017 Camping World 500 at Phoenix Raceway on March 19, 2017, leading 6 of 314 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | +21 | Ryan Newman |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Kyle Larson |
| 3 | 9 | +6 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | 21 | +17 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | Brad Keselowski |
| 6 | 23 | +17 | Kevin Harvick |
| 7 | 27 | +20 | Daniel Suarez |
| 8 | 8 | — | Erik Jones |
| 9 | 14 | +5 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 10 | 19 | +9 | Denny Hamlin |
| 11 | 16 | +5 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 12 | 7 | -5 | Chase Elliott |
| 13 | 13 | — | Clint Bowyer |
| 14 | 3 | -11 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 15 | 5 | -10 | Jamie McMurray |
| 16 | 15 | -1 | Ty Dillon |
| 17 | 28 | +11 | Aric Almirola |
| 18 | 17 | -1 | Austin Dillon |
| 19 | 24 | +5 | Trevor Bayne |
| 20 | 10 | -10 | Kasey Kahne |
| 21 | 18 | -3 | Paul Menard |
| 22 | 26 | +4 | Danica Patrick |
| 23 | 2 | -21 | Ryan Blaney |
| 24 | 25 | +1 | Michael McDowell |
| 25 | 11 | -14 | Kurt Busch |
| 26 | 20 | -6 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 27 | 33 | +6 | Chris Buescher |
| 28 | 29 | +1 | Landon Cassill |
| 29 | 30 | +1 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 30 | 35 | +5 | Reed Sorenson |
| 31 | 1 | -30 | Joey Logano |
| 32 | 39 | +7 | Timmy Hill |
| 33 | 37 | +4 | Derrike Cope |
| 34 | 32 | -2 | Cole Whitt |
| 35 | 34 | -1 | David Ragan |
| 36 | 36 | — | Gray Gaulding |
| 37 | 12 | -25 | Matt Kenseth |
| 38 | 31 | -7 | Corey LaJoie |
| 39 | 38 | -1 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 18 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kyle Larson | 10.3 | 2 | +8.3 |
| 4 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.4 | 4 | +16.4 |
| 5 | Brad Keselowski | 13.8 | 5 | +8.8 |
| 7 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 7 | +7.0 |
| 8 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 8 | +9.7 |
| 9 | Jimmie Johnson | 18.0 | 9 | +9.0 |
| 10 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 10 | -3.2 |
| 11 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 14.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| 12 | Chase Elliott | 9.9 | 12 | -2.1 |
| 16 | Ty Dillon | 23.1 | 16 | +7.1 |
| 18 | Austin Dillon | 17.7 | 18 | -0.3 |
| 23 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 23 | -16.2 |
| 24 | Michael McDowell | 15.6 | 24 | -8.4 |
| 26 | A.J. Allmendinger | 20.1 | 26 | -5.9 |
| 27 | Chris Buescher | 12.0 | 27 | -15.0 |
| 31 | Joey Logano | 10.3 | 31 | -20.7 |
| 32 | Timmy Hill | 23.1 | 32 | -8.9 |
| 38 | Corey LaJoie | 24.9 | 38 | -13.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ryan Newman: has 12 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 18.5 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 28 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 10.6 avg finish (1 win), finishing P10 on the day.
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P20. Track history: 20 starts, 21.0 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 Camping World 500?
Ryan Newman won the 2017 Camping World 500 at Phoenix Raceway driving for Richard Childress Racing.
Where was the 2017 Camping World 500 held?
The 2017 Camping World 500 was held at Phoenix Raceway on March 19, 2017.