GEICO 500
Talladega Superspeedway — May 7, 2017
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Winner
207
Laps
40
Entries
14
Leaders
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the 2017 GEICO 500 at Talladega Superspeedway on May 7, 2017, leading 14 of 207 laps. Jamie McMurray finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 14 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, May 7, 2017
Track
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
14 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | +17 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Jamie McMurray |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | — | — | Aric Almirola |
| 5 | 23 | +18 | Kasey Kahne |
| 6 | 15 | +9 | Kurt Busch |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | Brad Keselowski |
| 8 | 8 | — | Jimmie Johnson |
| 9 | 24 | +15 | Paul Menard |
| 10 | 26 | +16 | David Ragan |
| 11 | 5 | -6 | Denny Hamlin |
| 12 | 40 | +28 | Kyle Larson |
| 13 | 27 | +14 | Ty Dillon |
| 14 | 16 | +2 | Clint Bowyer |
| 15 | 22 | +7 | Chris Buescher |
| 16 | 32 | +16 | Cole Whitt |
| 17 | — | — | Elliott Sadler |
| 18 | 30 | +12 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 19 | 9 | -10 | Daniel Suarez |
| 20 | 39 | +19 | Gray Gaulding |
| 21 | — | — | Paul Menard |
| 22 | — | — | Ryan Newman |
| 23 | 7 | -16 | Kevin Harvick |
| 24 | 3 | -21 | Matt Kenseth |
| 25 | 29 | +4 | Ryan Newman |
| 26 | — | — | Landon Cassill |
| 27 | — | — | Ryan Sieg |
| 28 | — | — | Reed Sorenson |
| 29 | — | — | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 30 | — | — | Kurt Busch |
| 31 | — | — | Timmy Hill |
| 32 | 11 | -21 | Joey Logano |
| 33 | — | — | Ty Dillon |
| 34 | — | — | Cole Whitt |
| 35 | — | — | Gray Gaulding |
| 36 | — | — | Joey Gase |
| 37 | 19 | -18 | Trevor Bayne |
| 38 | — | — | Kasey Kahne |
| 39 | — | — | Brad Keselowski |
| 40 | — | — | Jimmie Johnson |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Busch | 2 | 2 | — | 18 |
| Kevin Harvick | 4 | 4 | — | 14 |
| Matt Kenseth | 6 | 3 | — | 13 |
| Jamie McMurray | 5 | 6 | — | 11 |
| Kyle Larson | 3 | 11 | — | 8 |
| Denny Hamlin | 7 | 8 | — | 7 |
| Kurt Busch | 14 | 7 | — | 4 |
| Jimmie Johnson | 9 | 40 | — | 2 |
| Clint Bowyer | 11 | 9 | — | 2 |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Elliott Sadler | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Menard | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Sieg | — | — | — | — |
| Reed Sorenson | — | — | — | — |
| Jeffrey Earnhardt | — | — | — | — |
| Kurt Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Timmy Hill | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Whitt | — | — | — | — |
| Gray Gaulding | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Gase | — | — | — | — |
| Kasey Kahne | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 12 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.9 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 18.5 | 1 | +17.5 |
| 3 | Kyle Busch | 15.1 | 3 | +12.1 |
| 7 | Brad Keselowski | 16.0 | 7 | +9.0 |
| 8 | Jimmie Johnson | 18.9 | 8 | +10.9 |
| 11 | Denny Hamlin | 16.0 | 11 | +5.0 |
| 12 | Kyle Larson | 18.5 | 12 | +6.5 |
| 13 | Ty Dillon | 21.1 | 13 | +8.1 |
| 15 | Chris Buescher | 13.6 | 15 | -1.4 |
| 19 | Daniel Suarez | 15.1 | 19 | -3.9 |
| 31 | Timmy Hill | 22.8 | 31 | -8.2 |
| 32 | Joey Logano | 20.5 | 32 | -11.5 |
| 36 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 36 | -12.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: has 24 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 12.3 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chris Buescher: was the model’s top pick based on 20 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 16.3 avg finish, finishing P15 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 GEICO 500?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the 2017 GEICO 500 at Talladega Superspeedway driving for Roush Fenway Racing.
Where was the 2017 GEICO 500 held?
The 2017 GEICO 500 was held at Talladega Superspeedway on May 7, 2017.