Digital Ally 400
Kansas Speedway — May 11, 2019
Brad Keselowski
Winner
271
Laps
23
Entries
12
Leaders
Brad Keselowski won the 2019 Digital Ally 400 at Kansas Speedway on May 11, 2019, leading 12 of 271 laps. Alex Bowman finished second; Erik Jones rounded out the podium. The race featured 12 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, May 11, 2019
Track
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
12 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | +18 | Brad Keselowski |
| 2 | 16 | +14 | Alex Bowman |
| 3 | 15 | +12 | Erik Jones |
| 4 | 22 | +18 | Chase Elliott |
| 5 | 3 | -2 | Clint Bowyer |
| 6 | 11 | +5 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | Kurt Busch |
| 8 | 7 | -1 | Kyle Larson |
| 9 | — | — | Tyler Reddick |
| 10 | 30 | +20 | Chris Buescher |
| 11 | 2 | -9 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 12 | 1 | -11 | Aric Almirola |
| 13 | 18 | +5 | Kevin Harvick |
| 14 | 5 | -9 | Daniel Suarez |
| 15 | 27 | +12 | Joey Logano |
| 16 | 4 | -12 | Denny Hamlin |
| 17 | 10 | -7 | Austin Dillon |
| 18 | 28 | +10 | Daniel Hemric |
| 19 | 9 | -10 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 20 | 17 | -3 | William Byron |
| 21 | 31 | +10 | Matt Tifft |
| 30 | 6 | -24 | Kyle Busch |
| 31 | 32 | +1 | Ross Chastain |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | 1 | 2 | — | 19 |
| Kevin Harvick | 2 | 1 | — | 19 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 5 | 3 | — | 14 |
| Kurt Busch | 4 | 7 | — | 11 |
| Joey Logano | 7 | 6 | — | 9 |
| Denny Hamlin | 8 | 5 | — | 9 |
| Aric Almirola | 3 | — | — | 8 |
| Erik Jones | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Clint Bowyer | 10 | 10 | — | 2 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Kyle Busch | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Elliott | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| William Byron | — | — | — | — |
| Matt Tifft | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.2 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 1 | +10.2 |
| 2 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 2 | +11.5 |
| 3 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 3 | +13.7 |
| 4 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 4 | +3.8 |
| 6 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 6 | +13.9 |
| 8 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 8 | +4.7 |
| 9 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 9 | -2.8 |
| 10 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 10 | -0.8 |
| 11 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 11 | +8.9 |
| 14 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 14 | 0.0 |
| 15 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 15 | -0.3 |
| 16 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 16 | -7.8 |
| 17 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 17 | +0.1 |
| 19 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 19 | -3.6 |
| 20 | William Byron | 10.7 | 20 | -9.3 |
| 30 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 30 | -13.0 |
| 31 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 31 | -17.7 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brad Keselowski: has 43 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 14.8 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 14.2 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P9 on the day.
- Jimmie Johnson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P20. Track history: 26 starts, 9.2 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 Digital Ally 400?
Brad Keselowski won the 2019 Digital Ally 400 at Kansas Speedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2019 Digital Ally 400 held?
The 2019 Digital Ally 400 was held at Kansas Speedway on May 11, 2019.