Foxwoods Resort Casino 301
New Hampshire Motor Speedway, July 21, 2019
Kevin Harvick
Winner
301
Laps
37
Entries
7
Leaders
Kevin Harvick won the 2019 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 21, 2019, leading 41 of 301 laps. Denny Hamlin finished second; Erik Jones rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, July 21, 2019
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | +13 | Kevin Harvick |
| 2 | 23 | +21 | Denny Hamlin |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Erik Jones |
| 4 | 5 | +1 | Ryan Blaney |
| 5 | 7 | +2 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 6 | 6 | — | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 7 | 26 | +19 | Ryan Newman |
| 8 | 2 | -6 | Kyle Busch |
| 9 | 8 | -1 | Joey Logano |
| 10 | 1 | -9 | Brad Keselowski |
| 11 | 9 | -2 | Aric Almirola |
| 12 | 22 | +10 | William Byron |
| 13 | 17 | +4 | Paul Menard |
| 14 | 37 | +23 | Alex Bowman |
| 15 | 25 | +10 | Chris Buescher |
| 16 | 18 | +2 | Ty Dillon |
| 17 | 24 | +7 | Michael McDowell |
| 18 | 3 | -15 | Kurt Busch |
| 19 | 13 | -6 | Daniel Suarez |
| 20 | 16 | -4 | Clint Bowyer |
| 21 | 28 | +7 | Ryan Preece |
| 22 | 27 | +5 | Bubba Wallace |
| 23 | 29 | +6 | Corey LaJoie |
| 24 | 30 | +6 | Matt Tifft |
| 25 | 32 | +7 | Ross Chastain |
| 26 | 31 | +5 | Landon Cassill |
| 27 | 33 | +6 | Reed Sorenson |
| 28 | 35 | +7 | Andy Seuss |
| 29 | 12 | -17 | Chase Elliott |
| 30 | 10 | -20 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 31 | 34 | +3 | Quin Houff |
| 32 | 21 | -11 | Austin Dillon |
| 33 | 15 | -18 | Kyle Larson |
| 34 | 20 | -14 | David Ragan |
| 35 | 36 | +1 | Austin Theriault |
| 36 | 11 | -25 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 37 | 19 | -18 | Daniel Hemric |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 21 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.1 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 2 | +4.8 |
| 3 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 3 | +14.7 |
| 4 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 4 | +2.8 |
| 6 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 14.0 | 6 | +8.0 |
| 9 | Joey Logano | 10.3 | 9 | +1.3 |
| 10 | Brad Keselowski | 13.8 | 10 | +3.8 |
| 12 | William Byron | 10.8 | 12 | -1.2 |
| 14 | Alex Bowman | 15.6 | 14 | +1.6 |
| 15 | Chris Buescher | 12.0 | 15 | -3.0 |
| 16 | Ty Dillon | 23.1 | 16 | +7.1 |
| 17 | Michael McDowell | 15.6 | 17 | -1.4 |
| 19 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 19 | -5.0 |
| 21 | Ryan Preece | 12.6 | 21 | -8.4 |
| 22 | Bubba Wallace | 12.6 | 22 | -9.4 |
| 23 | Corey LaJoie | 24.9 | 23 | +1.9 |
| 25 | Ross Chastain | 12.6 | 25 | -12.4 |
| 29 | Chase Elliott | 9.9 | 29 | -19.1 |
| 30 | Jimmie Johnson | 18.0 | 30 | -12.0 |
| 32 | Austin Dillon | 17.7 | 32 | -14.3 |
| 33 | Kyle Larson | 10.3 | 33 | -22.7 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kevin Harvick: has 42 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 9.3 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 34 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 9.3 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
- Erik Jones: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P18. Track history: 13 starts, 14.9 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301?
Kevin Harvick won the 2019 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway driving for Stewart-Haas Racing.
Where was the 2019 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 held?
The 2019 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 was held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 21, 2019.