Gander RV 400
Pocono Raceway — July 28, 2019
Denny Hamlin
Winner
163
Laps
20
Entries
5
Leaders
Denny Hamlin won the 2019 Gander RV 400 at Pocono Raceway on July 28, 2019, leading 32 of 163 laps. Erik Jones finished second; Martin Truex, Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | Denny Hamlin |
| 2 | 16 | +14 | Erik Jones |
| 3 | 8 | +5 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 4 | 25 | +21 | William Byron |
| 5 | 13 | +8 | Kyle Larson |
| 6 | 2 | -4 | Kevin Harvick |
| 7 | 22 | +15 | Daniel Hemric |
| 8 | 1 | -7 | Brad Keselowski |
| 9 | 4 | -5 | Kyle Busch |
| 10 | 15 | +5 | Ryan Blaney |
| 11 | 5 | -6 | Clint Bowyer |
| 12 | 7 | -5 | Aric Almirola |
| 13 | 28 | +15 | Joey Logano |
| 14 | 19 | +5 | Ryan Newman |
| 15 | 10 | -5 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 16 | 23 | +7 | Chris Buescher |
| 17 | 12 | -5 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 18 | 24 | +6 | Paul Menard |
| 19 | 17 | -2 | Austin Dillon |
| 20 | 20 | — | Alex Bowman |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 1 | 2 | — | 19 |
| Kyle Busch | 2 | 1 | — | 19 |
| Denny Hamlin | 4 | 3 | — | 15 |
| Brad Keselowski | 3 | 4 | — | 15 |
| Kevin Harvick | 5 | 6 | — | 11 |
| Clint Bowyer | 6 | 8 | — | 8 |
| Ryan Newman | — | 5 | — | 6 |
| Jimmie Johnson | 9 | 9 | — | 4 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | 7 | — | — | 4 |
| Kyle Larson | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| William Byron | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Menard | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.3 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 1 | +7.2 |
| 2 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 2 | +14.7 |
| 3 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 3 | +12.4 |
| 4 | William Byron | 10.7 | 4 | +6.7 |
| 5 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 5 | +7.7 |
| 8 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 8 | +3.2 |
| 9 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 9 | +8.0 |
| 10 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 10 | -0.8 |
| 13 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 13 | +1.7 |
| 15 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 15 | +4.9 |
| 16 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 16 | -6.8 |
| 19 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 19 | -1.9 |
| 20 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 20 | -6.5 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin: has 38 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 10.5 avg finish (7 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Erik Jones: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 17 starts, 9.8 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 Gander RV 400?
Denny Hamlin won the 2019 Gander RV 400 at Pocono Raceway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2019 Gander RV 400 held?
The 2019 Gander RV 400 was held at Pocono Raceway on July 28, 2019.