1000Bulbs.com 500
Talladega Superspeedway, October 13, 2019
Ryan Blaney
Winner
188
Laps
40
Entries
19
Leaders
Ryan Blaney won the 2019 1000Bulbs.com 500 at Talladega Superspeedway on October 13, 2019, leading 35 of 188 laps. Ryan Newman finished second; Denny Hamlin rounded out the podium. The race featured 19 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 13, 2019
Track
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
19 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +8 | Ryan Blaney |
| 2 | 13 | +11 | Ryan Newman |
| 3 | 40 | +37 | Denny Hamlin |
| 4 | 5 | +1 | Aric Almirola |
| 5 | 22 | +17 | Michael McDowell |
| 6 | 20 | +14 | Austin Dillon |
| 7 | 33 | +26 | Corey LaJoie |
| 8 | 1 | -7 | Chase Elliott |
| 9 | 7 | -2 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 10 | 21 | +11 | Ty Dillon |
| 11 | 10 | -1 | Joey Logano |
| 12 | 34 | +22 | Ross Chastain |
| 13 | 16 | +3 | Matt Tifft |
| 14 | 25 | +11 | Landon Cassill |
| 15 | 32 | +17 | Parker Kligerman |
| 16 | 14 | -2 | Paul Menard |
| 17 | 15 | -2 | Kevin Harvick |
| 18 | 30 | +12 | Ryan Preece |
| 19 | 26 | +7 | Kyle Busch |
| 20 | 23 | +3 | Chris Buescher |
| 21 | 29 | +8 | Daniel Hemric |
| 22 | 38 | +16 | Reed Sorenson |
| 23 | 8 | -15 | Clint Bowyer |
| 24 | 27 | +3 | Bubba Wallace |
| 25 | 6 | -19 | Brad Keselowski |
| 26 | 18 | -8 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 27 | 28 | +1 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 28 | 24 | -4 | Kurt Busch |
| 29 | 17 | -12 | David Ragan |
| 30 | 31 | +1 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 31 | 35 | +4 | Blake Jones |
| 32 | 19 | -13 | Daniel Suarez |
| 33 | 3 | -30 | William Byron |
| 34 | 11 | -23 | Erik Jones |
| 35 | 37 | +2 | Austin Theriault |
| 36 | 36 | — | Joey Gase |
| 37 | 2 | -35 | Alex Bowman |
| 38 | 4 | -34 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 39 | 12 | -27 | Kyle Larson |
| 40 | 39 | -1 | Spencer Boyd |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 22 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.7 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Blaney | 10.4 | 1 | +9.4 |
| 3 | Denny Hamlin | 15.1 | 3 | +12.1 |
| 5 | Michael McDowell | 19.2 | 5 | +14.2 |
| 6 | Austin Dillon | 21.1 | 6 | +15.1 |
| 7 | Corey LaJoie | 23.3 | 7 | +16.3 |
| 8 | Chase Elliott | 13.6 | 8 | +5.6 |
| 9 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 18.5 | 9 | +9.5 |
| 10 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 10 | +12.9 |
| 11 | Joey Logano | 18.5 | 11 | +7.5 |
| 12 | Ross Chastain | 16.0 | 12 | +4.0 |
| 18 | Ryan Preece | 21.1 | 18 | +3.1 |
| 20 | Chris Buescher | 13.6 | 20 | -6.4 |
| 24 | Bubba Wallace | 16.9 | 24 | -7.1 |
| 25 | Brad Keselowski | 18.5 | 25 | -6.5 |
| 26 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 20.5 | 26 | -5.5 |
| 32 | Daniel Suarez | 15.1 | 32 | -16.9 |
| 33 | William Byron | 13.9 | 33 | -19.1 |
| 34 | Erik Jones | 16.0 | 34 | -18.0 |
| 36 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 36 | -12.3 |
| 37 | Alex Bowman | 17.4 | 37 | -19.6 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ryan Blaney: has 28 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 17.3 avg finish (3 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Corey LaJoie: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P23. Track history: 15 starts, 19.1 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 1000Bulbs.com 500?
Ryan Blaney won the 2019 1000Bulbs.com 500 at Talladega Superspeedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2019 1000Bulbs.com 500 held?
The 2019 1000Bulbs.com 500 was held at Talladega Superspeedway on October 13, 2019.