Foxwoods Resort Casino 301
New Hampshire Motor Speedway — July 21, 2019
Kevin Harvick
Winner
301
Laps
20
Entries
7
Leaders
Kevin Harvick won the 2019 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 21, 2019, leading 41 of 301 laps. Denny Hamlin finished second; Erik Jones rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, July 21, 2019
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Kevin Harvick |
| 2 | 13 | +11 | Denny Hamlin |
| 3 | 26 | +23 | Erik Jones |
| 4 | 23 | +19 | Ryan Blaney |
| 5 | 25 | +20 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 6 | 24 | +18 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 7 | 17 | +10 | Ryan Newman |
| 8 | 20 | +12 | Kyle Busch |
| 9 | 22 | +13 | Joey Logano |
| 10 | 18 | +8 | Brad Keselowski |
| 11 | 4 | -7 | Aric Almirola |
| 12 | 14 | +2 | William Byron |
| 13 | 21 | +8 | Paul Menard |
| 14 | 19 | +5 | Alex Bowman |
| 15 | 28 | +13 | Chris Buescher |
| 16 | 27 | +11 | Ty Dillon |
| 17 | 10 | -7 | Michael McDowell |
| 18 | 5 | -13 | Kurt Busch |
| 19 | 2 | -17 | Daniel Suarez |
| 20 | 1 | -19 | Clint Bowyer |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Logano | 1 | 2 | — | 19 |
| Kevin Harvick | 2 | 4 | — | 16 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 8 | 1 | — | 13 |
| William Byron | 7 | 6 | — | 9 |
| Aric Almirola | 3 | — | — | 8 |
| Kurt Busch | 6 | 9 | — | 7 |
| Daniel Suarez | 4 | — | — | 7 |
| Denny Hamlin | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| Ryan Blaney | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Erik Jones | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Alex Bowman | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Menard | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Clint Bowyer | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 4.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Excellent
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 2 | +4.8 |
| 3 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 3 | +14.7 |
| 4 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 4 | +2.8 |
| 6 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 6 | +7.8 |
| 8 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 8 | +7.6 |
| 9 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 9 | +3.1 |
| 10 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 10 | +2.0 |
| 12 | William Byron | 10.3 | 12 | -1.7 |
| 14 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 14 | 0.0 |
| 15 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 15 | -4.7 |
| 16 | Ty Dillon | 24.3 | 16 | +8.3 |
| 17 | Michael McDowell | 15.0 | 17 | -2.0 |
| 19 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 19 | -3.4 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kevin Harvick: has 43 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 10.0 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 35 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 10.1 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
- Erik Jones: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P18. Track history: 12 starts, 13.3 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301?
Kevin Harvick won the 2019 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway driving for Stewart-Haas Racing.
Where was the 2019 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 held?
The 2019 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 was held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 21, 2019.