NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE
New Hampshire Motor Speedway — July 20, 2019
Christopher Bell
Winner
200
Laps
38
Entries
3
Leaders
Christopher Bell won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 20, 2019, leading 186 of 200 laps. Cole Custer finished second; Justin Allgaier rounded out the podium. The race featured 3 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, July 20, 2019
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
3 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Christopher Bell |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Cole Custer |
| 3 | 8 | +5 | Justin Allgaier |
| 4 | 11 | +7 | Tyler Reddick |
| 5 | 4 | -1 | Paul Menard |
| 6 | 5 | -1 | Chase Briscoe |
| 7 | 9 | +2 | Ryan Truex |
| 8 | 15 | +7 | Ryan Sieg |
| 9 | 6 | -3 | Brandon Jones |
| 10 | 10 | — | Noah Gragson |
| 11 | 16 | +5 | Michael Annett |
| 12 | 3 | -9 | Austin Cindric |
| 13 | 13 | — | Justin Haley |
| 14 | 12 | -2 | Kaz Grala |
| 15 | 14 | -1 | Jeremy Clements |
| 16 | 21 | +5 | Brandon Brown |
| 17 | 20 | +3 | Gray Gaulding |
| 18 | 25 | +7 | Ray Black, Jr. |
| 19 | 27 | +8 | Josh Williams |
| 20 | 31 | +11 | Matt Mills |
| 21 | 36 | +15 | B.J. McLeod |
| 22 | 19 | -3 | Alex Labbe |
| 23 | 18 | -5 | Stephen Leicht |
| 24 | 30 | +6 | Garrett Smithley |
| 25 | 26 | +1 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 26 | 32 | +6 | David Starr |
| 27 | 28 | +1 | Vinnie Miller |
| 28 | 37 | +9 | C.J. McLaughlin |
| 29 | 7 | -22 | Harrison Burton |
| 30 | 22 | -8 | Chad Finchum |
| 31 | 34 | +3 | Joey Gase |
| 32 | 38 | +6 | Tyler Matthews |
| 33 | 29 | -4 | Shane Lee |
| 34 | 35 | +1 | Timmy Hill |
| 35 | 33 | -2 | Bayley Currey |
| 36 | 17 | -19 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 37 | 24 | -13 | Landon Cassill |
| 38 | 23 | -15 | Carl Long |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.6 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christopher Bell | 8.6 | 1 | +7.6 |
| 2 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 2 | +21.0 |
| 3 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 3 | +14.7 |
| 4 | Tyler Reddick | 9.9 | 4 | +5.9 |
| 6 | Chase Briscoe | 12.6 | 6 | +6.6 |
| 7 | Ryan Truex | 15.6 | 7 | +8.6 |
| 10 | Noah Gragson | 23.0 | 10 | +13.0 |
| 12 | Austin Cindric | 17.0 | 12 | +5.0 |
| 13 | Justin Haley | 21.2 | 13 | +8.2 |
| 21 | B.J. McLeod | 25.6 | 21 | +4.6 |
| 26 | David Starr | 20.2 | 26 | -5.8 |
| 30 | Chad Finchum | 22.1 | 30 | -7.9 |
| 31 | Joey Gase | 22.0 | 31 | -9.0 |
| 34 | Timmy Hill | 24.3 | 34 | -9.7 |
| 36 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.1 | 36 | -15.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Christopher Bell: has 11 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 4.2 avg finish (7 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P23. Track history: 12 starts, 12.0 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE?
Christopher Bell won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE at New Hampshire Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE held?
The 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE was held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 20, 2019.