Pocono 400
Pocono Raceway — June 2, 2019
Kyle Busch
Winner
160
Laps
21
Entries
9
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2019 Pocono 400 at Pocono Raceway on June 2, 2019, leading 79 of 160 laps. Brad Keselowski finished second; Erik Jones rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +4 | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 11 | +9 | Brad Keselowski |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Erik Jones |
| 4 | 18 | +14 | Chase Elliott |
| 5 | 13 | +8 | Clint Bowyer |
| 6 | 9 | +3 | Denny Hamlin |
| 7 | 2 | -5 | Joey Logano |
| 8 | 7 | -1 | Daniel Suarez |
| 9 | 31 | +22 | William Byron |
| 10 | 3 | -7 | Aric Almirola |
| 11 | 6 | -5 | Kurt Busch |
| 12 | 30 | +18 | Ryan Blaney |
| 13 | 17 | +4 | Daniel Hemric |
| 14 | 33 | +19 | Chris Buescher |
| 15 | 12 | -3 | Alex Bowman |
| 16 | 19 | +3 | Ryan Newman |
| 17 | 10 | -7 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 18 | 16 | -2 | Paul Menard |
| 19 | 32 | +13 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 20 | 35 | +15 | Michael McDowell |
| 26 | 23 | -3 | Kyle Larson |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Logano | 2 | 3 | — | 17 |
| Denny Hamlin | 4 | 5 | — | 13 |
| Kyle Busch | 1 | — | — | 10 |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | 1 | — | 10 |
| Erik Jones | 7 | 7 | — | 8 |
| Kyle Larson | 6 | 10 | — | 6 |
| Brad Keselowski | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Aric Almirola | 8 | — | — | 3 |
| Kurt Busch | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Alex Bowman | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Clint Bowyer | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Chase Elliott | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| William Byron | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Menard | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.2 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 1 | +16.0 |
| 2 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 2 | +9.2 |
| 3 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 3 | +13.7 |
| 4 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 4 | +3.8 |
| 6 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 6 | +2.2 |
| 7 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 7 | +7.7 |
| 8 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 8 | +6.0 |
| 9 | William Byron | 10.7 | 9 | +1.7 |
| 12 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 12 | -2.8 |
| 14 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 14 | -4.8 |
| 15 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 15 | -1.5 |
| 19 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 19 | +0.9 |
| 20 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 20 | -3.0 |
| 26 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 26 | -13.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 47 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 14.9 avg finish (8 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 7.9 avg finish (1 win), finishing P4 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 Pocono 400?
Kyle Busch won the 2019 Pocono 400 at Pocono Raceway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2019 Pocono 400 held?
The 2019 Pocono 400 was held at Pocono Raceway on June 2, 2019.