1000Bulbs.com 500
Talladega Superspeedway — October 13, 2019
Ryan Blaney
Winner
188
Laps
29
Entries
19
Leaders
Ryan Blaney won the 2019 1000Bulbs.com 500 at Talladega Superspeedway on October 13, 2019, leading 35 of 188 laps. Ryan Newman finished second; Denny Hamlin rounded out the podium. The race featured 19 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 13, 2019
Track
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
19 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Ryan Blaney |
| 2 | 18 | +16 | Ryan Newman |
| 3 | 3 | — | Denny Hamlin |
| 4 | 14 | +10 | Aric Almirola |
| 5 | 27 | +22 | Michael McDowell |
| 6 | 13 | +7 | Austin Dillon |
| 7 | 24 | +17 | Corey LaJoie |
| 8 | 2 | -6 | Chase Elliott |
| 9 | 19 | +10 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 10 | 20 | +10 | Ty Dillon |
| 11 | 12 | +1 | Joey Logano |
| 12 | 33 | +21 | Ross Chastain |
| 13 | 30 | +17 | Matt Tifft |
| 14 | 32 | +18 | Landon Cassill |
| 15 | — | — | Parker Kligerman |
| 16 | 17 | +1 | Paul Menard |
| 17 | 8 | -9 | Kevin Harvick |
| 18 | 21 | +3 | Ryan Preece |
| 19 | 4 | -15 | Kyle Busch |
| 20 | 22 | +2 | Chris Buescher |
| 21 | 11 | -10 | Daniel Hemric |
| 23 | 26 | +3 | Clint Bowyer |
| 24 | 23 | -1 | Bubba Wallace |
| 25 | 5 | -20 | Brad Keselowski |
| 28 | 16 | -12 | Kurt Busch |
| 33 | 7 | -26 | William Byron |
| 34 | 10 | -24 | Erik Jones |
| 35 | — | — | Austin Theriault |
| 38 | 15 | -23 | Jimmie Johnson |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Busch | 5 | 1 | — | 16 |
| Joey Logano | 3 | 8 | — | 11 |
| Ryan Blaney | 1 | — | — | 10 |
| Aric Almirola | 2 | — | — | 9 |
| Kevin Harvick | 10 | 3 | — | 9 |
| Clint Bowyer | — | 2 | — | 9 |
| Denny Hamlin | — | 5 | — | 6 |
| Ryan Newman | — | 6 | — | 5 |
| Austin Dillon | 7 | — | — | 4 |
| Chase Elliott | 9 | 9 | — | 4 |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| William Byron | 8 | — | — | 3 |
| Kurt Busch | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Matt Tifft | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Parker Kligerman | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Menard | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Theriault | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 18 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.9 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Blaney | 13.9 | 1 | +12.9 |
| 3 | Denny Hamlin | 16.0 | 3 | +13.0 |
| 5 | Michael McDowell | 20.0 | 5 | +15.0 |
| 6 | Austin Dillon | 23.4 | 6 | +17.4 |
| 7 | Corey LaJoie | 23.3 | 7 | +16.3 |
| 8 | Chase Elliott | 10.4 | 8 | +2.4 |
| 9 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 18.5 | 9 | +9.5 |
| 10 | Ty Dillon | 21.1 | 10 | +11.1 |
| 11 | Joey Logano | 20.5 | 11 | +9.5 |
| 12 | Ross Chastain | 17.4 | 12 | +5.4 |
| 18 | Ryan Preece | 21.1 | 18 | +3.1 |
| 19 | Kyle Busch | 15.1 | 19 | -3.9 |
| 20 | Chris Buescher | 13.6 | 20 | -6.4 |
| 24 | Bubba Wallace | 16.0 | 24 | -8.0 |
| 25 | Brad Keselowski | 16.0 | 25 | -9.0 |
| 33 | William Byron | 13.9 | 33 | -19.1 |
| 34 | Erik Jones | 18.5 | 34 | -15.5 |
| 38 | Jimmie Johnson | 18.9 | 38 | -19.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ryan Blaney: has 27 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 16.5 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 14.3 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P8 on the day.
- Austin Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P23. Track history: 28 starts, 14.7 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 1000Bulbs.com 500?
Ryan Blaney won the 2019 1000Bulbs.com 500 at Talladega Superspeedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2019 1000Bulbs.com 500 held?
The 2019 1000Bulbs.com 500 was held at Talladega Superspeedway on October 13, 2019.