Coca-Cola 600

Charlotte Motor Speedway, May 24, 2020

Brad Keselowski
Winner
405
Laps
40
Entries
11
Leaders

Brad Keselowski won the 2020 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 24, 2020, leading 21 of 405 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Ryan Blaney rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, May 24, 2020
Season
2020
Leaders
11 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 9 +8 Brad Keselowski
2 3 +1 Chase Elliott
3 26 +23 Ryan Blaney
4 11 +7 Kyle Busch
5 22 +17 Kevin Harvick
6 8 +2 Martin Truex, Jr.
7 1 -6 Kurt Busch
8 5 -3 Tyler Reddick
9 15 +6 Christopher Bell
10 19 +9 Chris Buescher
11 14 +3 Erik Jones
12 28 +16 Cole Custer
13 7 -6 Joey Logano
14 6 -8 Austin Dillon
15 40 +25 Aric Almirola
16 25 +9 John Hunter Nemechek
17 33 +16 Matt DiBenedetto
18 27 +9 Michael McDowell
19 12 -7 Alex Bowman
20 10 -10 William Byron
21 21 Ross Chastain
22 29 +7 Ryan Preece
23 24 +1 Corey LaJoie
24 17 -7 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
25 16 -9 Ty Dillon
26 4 -22 Matt Kenseth
27 18 -9 Ryan Newman
28 37 +9 Daniel Suarez
29 13 -16 Denny Hamlin
30 35 +5 Brennan Poole
31 31 Gray Gaulding
32 36 +4 B.J. McLeod
33 38 +5 Garrett Smithley
34 32 -2 Timmy Hill
35 30 -5 Quin Houff
36 39 +3 Joey Gase
37 34 -3 J.J. Yeley
38 23 -15 Bubba Wallace
39 20 -19 Clint Bowyer
40 2 -38 Jimmie Johnson
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Alex Bowman 1 1 2 29
Martin Truex, Jr. 2 2 4 25
Joey Logano 5 7 1 20
Kyle Busch 6 3 5 19
Chase Elliott 3 5 14
William Byron 8 4 9 12
Ryan Blaney 9 3 10
Erik Jones 6 6 10
Austin Dillon 7 8 8 10
Tyler Reddick 4 10 8
Brad Keselowski 7 4
Kurt Busch 9 2
Kevin Harvick 10 1
Ryan Newman 10 1
Christopher Bell
Chris Buescher
Cole Custer
Aric Almirola
John Hunter Nemechek
Matt DiBenedetto
Michael McDowell
Ross Chastain
Ryan Preece
Corey LaJoie
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Ty Dillon
Matt Kenseth
Daniel Suarez
Denny Hamlin
Brennan Poole
Gray Gaulding
B.J. McLeod
Garrett Smithley
Timmy Hill
Quin Houff
Joey Gase
J.J. Yeley
Bubba Wallace
Clint Bowyer
Jimmie Johnson
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 29 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.9 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Brad Keselowski 15.4 1 +14.4
2 Chase Elliott 10.1 2 +8.1
3 Ryan Blaney 8.2 3 +5.2
6 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 6 +9.4
8 Tyler Reddick 11.2 8 +3.2
9 Christopher Bell 9.2 9 +0.2
10 Chris Buescher 9.2 10 -0.8
11 Erik Jones 14.7 11 +3.7
12 Cole Custer 22.0 12 +10.0
13 Joey Logano 11.9 13 -1.1
14 Austin Dillon 19.9 14 +5.9
16 John Hunter Nemechek 18.3 16 +2.3
18 Michael McDowell 16.9 18 -1.1
19 Alex Bowman 16.2 19 -2.8
20 William Byron 10.7 20 -9.3
21 Ross Chastain 14.5 21 -6.5
22 Ryan Preece 13.3 22 -8.7
23 Corey LaJoie 22.2 23 -0.8
24 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 24 -4.1
25 Ty Dillon 22.9 25 -2.1

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Brad Keselowski: has 47 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 12.4 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 40 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.5 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P29 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2020 Coca-Cola 600?
Brad Keselowski won the 2020 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2020 Coca-Cola 600 held?
The 2020 Coca-Cola 600 was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 24, 2020.