Coca-Cola 600
Charlotte Motor Speedway — May 24, 2020
Brad Keselowski
Winner
405
Laps
23
Entries
11
Leaders
Brad Keselowski won the 2020 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 24, 2020, leading 21 of 405 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Ryan Blaney rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, May 24, 2020
Track
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | +11 | Brad Keselowski |
| 2 | 25 | +23 | Chase Elliott |
| 3 | 9 | +6 | Ryan Blaney |
| 4 | 16 | +12 | Kyle Busch |
| 5 | 20 | +15 | Kevin Harvick |
| 6 | 15 | +9 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 7 | 3 | -4 | Kurt Busch |
| 8 | 30 | +22 | Tyler Reddick |
| 9 | 17 | +8 | Christopher Bell |
| 10 | 11 | +1 | Chris Buescher |
| 11 | 38 | +27 | Erik Jones |
| 12 | 5 | -7 | Cole Custer |
| 13 | 36 | +23 | Joey Logano |
| 14 | 2 | -12 | Austin Dillon |
| 15 | 18 | +3 | Aric Almirola |
| 16 | 24 | +8 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 17 | 8 | -9 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 18 | 13 | -5 | Michael McDowell |
| 19 | 27 | +8 | Alex Bowman |
| 20 | 7 | -13 | William Byron |
| 22 | 1 | -21 | Ryan Preece |
| 24 | 4 | -20 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 40 | 21 | -19 | Jimmie Johnson |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Keselowski | 5 | 1 | — | 16 |
| Kurt Busch | 1 | 8 | — | 13 |
| Kevin Harvick | 4 | 6 | — | 12 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 8 | 4 | — | 10 |
| Ryan Blaney | 2 | 14 | — | 9 |
| Aric Almirola | 31 | 2 | — | 9 |
| Christopher Bell | 3 | 39 | — | 8 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | 6 | 9 | — | 7 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 32 | 5 | — | 6 |
| Chris Buescher | 7 | 35 | — | 4 |
| Austin Dillon | 11 | 7 | — | 4 |
| Kyle Busch | 9 | 38 | — | 2 |
| Cole Custer | 10 | 15 | — | 1 |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 19 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.6 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 1 | +10.2 |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 2 | +5.8 |
| 3 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 3 | +6.2 |
| 4 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 4 | +13.0 |
| 6 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 6 | +9.4 |
| 8 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 8 | -1.8 |
| 9 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 9 | +1.7 |
| 10 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 10 | -0.8 |
| 11 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 11 | +5.7 |
| 12 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 12 | +10.9 |
| 13 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 13 | +1.7 |
| 14 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 14 | +3.1 |
| 16 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 16 | +3.1 |
| 18 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 18 | -1.0 |
| 19 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 19 | -5.5 |
| 20 | William Byron | 10.7 | 20 | -9.3 |
| 22 | Ryan Preece | 10.1 | 22 | -11.9 |
| 24 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 24 | -4.1 |
| 40 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 40 | -20.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brad Keselowski: has 45 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.9 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 15 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 7.7 avg finish (1 win), finishing P8 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P17. Track history: 68 starts, 8.4 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 Coca-Cola 600?
Brad Keselowski won the 2020 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2020 Coca-Cola 600 held?
The 2020 Coca-Cola 600 was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 24, 2020.