FireKeepers Casino 400
Michigan International Speedway — August 8, 2020
Kevin Harvick
Winner
161
Laps
21
Entries
7
Leaders
Kevin Harvick won the 2020 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway on August 8, 2020, leading 92 of 161 laps. Brad Keselowski finished second; Martin Truex, Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, August 8, 2020
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Kevin Harvick |
| 2 | 9 | +7 | Brad Keselowski |
| 3 | 14 | +11 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 4 | 15 | +11 | Ryan Blaney |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | Kyle Busch |
| 6 | 7 | +1 | Denny Hamlin |
| 7 | 12 | +5 | Chase Elliott |
| 8 | 2 | -6 | Joey Logano |
| 9 | 30 | +21 | Bubba Wallace |
| 10 | 8 | -2 | Kurt Busch |
| 11 | 17 | +6 | Erik Jones |
| 12 | 18 | +6 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 13 | 26 | +13 | Christopher Bell |
| 14 | 5 | -9 | William Byron |
| 15 | 16 | +1 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 16 | 10 | -6 | Aric Almirola |
| 17 | 19 | +2 | Matt Kenseth |
| 18 | 22 | +4 | Tyler Reddick |
| 19 | 11 | -8 | Clint Bowyer |
| 20 | 25 | +5 | Chris Buescher |
| 26 | 32 | +6 | J.J. Yeley |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Keselowski | 4 | 1 | — | 17 |
| Joey Logano | 3 | 4 | — | 15 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 7 | 3 | — | 12 |
| Denny Hamlin | 1 | 14 | — | 10 |
| Chase Elliott | 8 | 5 | — | 9 |
| Kevin Harvick | 5 | 10 | — | 7 |
| Kyle Busch | 13 | 6 | — | 5 |
| Kurt Busch | 12 | 7 | — | 4 |
| Aric Almirola | 15 | 8 | — | 3 |
| Matt Kenseth | 14 | 9 | — | 2 |
| Clint Bowyer | 10 | 15 | — | 1 |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.5 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 2 | +9.2 |
| 3 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 3 | +12.4 |
| 4 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 4 | +5.2 |
| 5 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 5 | +12.0 |
| 6 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 6 | +2.2 |
| 7 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 7 | +0.8 |
| 8 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 8 | +6.7 |
| 9 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 9 | +3.7 |
| 11 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 11 | +5.7 |
| 12 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 12 | +7.9 |
| 13 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 13 | -2.3 |
| 14 | William Byron | 10.7 | 14 | -3.3 |
| 18 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 18 | -11.8 |
| 20 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 20 | -10.8 |
| 26 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 26 | +2.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kevin Harvick: has 59 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 11.0 avg finish (8 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 12 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 16.4 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P18 on the day.
- Martin Truex, Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P15. Track history: 35 starts, 13.7 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 FireKeepers Casino 400?
Kevin Harvick won the 2020 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway driving for Stewart-Haas Racing.
Where was the 2020 FireKeepers Casino 400 held?
The 2020 FireKeepers Casino 400 was held at Michigan International Speedway on August 8, 2020.