Hollywood Casino 400
Kansas Speedway — October 24, 2021
Kyle Larson
Winner
267
Laps
22
Entries
8
Leaders
Kyle Larson won the 2021 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway on October 24, 2021, leading 130 of 267 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Kevin Harvick rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 24, 2021
Track
Season
2021
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Kyle Larson |
| 2 | 26 | +24 | Chase Elliott |
| 3 | 6 | +3 | Kevin Harvick |
| 4 | 28 | +24 | Kurt Busch |
| 5 | 2 | -3 | Denny Hamlin |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | William Byron |
| 7 | 5 | -2 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 8 | 15 | +7 | Christopher Bell |
| 9 | 10 | +1 | Joey Logano |
| 10 | 9 | -1 | Austin Dillon |
| 11 | 7 | -4 | Alex Bowman |
| 12 | 11 | -1 | Chris Buescher |
| 13 | 17 | +4 | Ross Chastain |
| 14 | 19 | +5 | Bubba Wallace |
| 15 | 18 | +3 | Daniel Suarez |
| 16 | 16 | — | Michael McDowell |
| 17 | 20 | +3 | Brad Keselowski |
| 18 | 21 | +3 | Cole Custer |
| 19 | 25 | +6 | Chase Briscoe |
| 20 | — | — | Parker Kligerman |
| 22 | 27 | +5 | Tyler Reddick |
| 23 | 12 | -11 | Matt DiBenedetto |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 1 | 4 | — | 17 |
| Denny Hamlin | 3 | 3 | — | 16 |
| Daniel Suarez | 4 | 2 | — | 16 |
| Joey Logano | 6 | 1 | — | 15 |
| William Byron | 2 | 11 | — | 9 |
| Bubba Wallace | 7 | 7 | — | 8 |
| Tyler Reddick | 12 | 9 | — | 2 |
| Chase Elliott | 11 | 10 | — | 1 |
| Chris Buescher | 10 | 14 | — | 1 |
| Parker Kligerman | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 18 matched drivers, the model averaged 5.1 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 1 | +11.7 |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 2 | +5.8 |
| 5 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 5 | +3.2 |
| 6 | William Byron | 10.7 | 6 | +4.7 |
| 7 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 7 | +8.4 |
| 8 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 8 | +2.7 |
| 9 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 9 | +5.7 |
| 10 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 10 | +7.1 |
| 11 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 11 | +2.5 |
| 12 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 12 | -2.8 |
| 13 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 13 | +0.3 |
| 14 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 14 | -1.3 |
| 15 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 15 | -1.0 |
| 16 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 16 | +1.0 |
| 17 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 17 | -5.8 |
| 18 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 18 | +4.9 |
| 19 | Chase Briscoe | 11.9 | 19 | -7.1 |
| 22 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 22 | -15.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Larson: has 24 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 11.2 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 14.2 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P22 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2021 Hollywood Casino 400?
Kyle Larson won the 2021 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2021 Hollywood Casino 400 held?
The 2021 Hollywood Casino 400 was held at Kansas Speedway on October 24, 2021.