Foxwoods Resort Casino 301
New Hampshire Motor Speedway — July 18, 2021
Aric Almirola
Winner
293
Laps
21
Entries
10
Leaders
Aric Almirola won the 2021 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 18, 2021, leading 25 of 293 laps. Christopher Bell finished second; Brad Keselowski rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, July 18, 2021
Season
2021
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | +11 | Aric Almirola |
| 2 | 6 | +4 | Christopher Bell |
| 3 | 10 | +7 | Brad Keselowski |
| 4 | 3 | -1 | Joey Logano |
| 5 | 7 | +2 | Ryan Blaney |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | Kevin Harvick |
| 7 | 5 | -2 | Kyle Larson |
| 8 | 17 | +9 | Ross Chastain |
| 9 | 11 | +2 | Alex Bowman |
| 10 | 2 | -8 | Denny Hamlin |
| 11 | 19 | +8 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 12 | 1 | -11 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 13 | 13 | — | Tyler Reddick |
| 14 | 26 | +12 | Cole Custer |
| 15 | 23 | +8 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 16 | 15 | -1 | Kurt Busch |
| 17 | 18 | +1 | Austin Dillon |
| 18 | 4 | -14 | Chase Elliott |
| 19 | 22 | +3 | Erik Jones |
| 20 | 21 | +1 | Daniel Suarez |
| 37 | 9 | -28 | Kyle Busch |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | 2 | 1 | — | 19 |
| Denny Hamlin | 1 | 2 | — | 19 |
| Brad Keselowski | 4 | 3 | — | 15 |
| Chase Elliott | 3 | 5 | — | 14 |
| Ryan Blaney | 5 | 7 | — | 10 |
| Kevin Harvick | 6 | 6 | — | 10 |
| Christopher Bell | 8 | 8 | — | 6 |
| Kyle Busch | 7 | 10 | — | 5 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 9 | 16 | — | 2 |
| Tyler Reddick | 13 | 9 | — | 2 |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 5.7 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Christopher Bell | 8.6 | 2 | +6.6 |
| 3 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 3 | +9.0 |
| 4 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 4 | +8.1 |
| 5 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 7 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 7 | +1.6 |
| 8 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 8 | +5.8 |
| 9 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 9 | +5.0 |
| 10 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 10 | -3.2 |
| 12 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 12 | +1.8 |
| 13 | Tyler Reddick | 9.9 | 13 | -3.1 |
| 14 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 14 | +9.0 |
| 15 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 15 | +5.1 |
| 17 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 17 | 0.0 |
| 18 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 18 | -9.7 |
| 19 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 19 | -1.3 |
| 20 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 20 | -4.4 |
| 37 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 37 | -21.4 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Aric Almirola: has 25 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 18.8 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 13 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 12.9 avg finish (1 win), finishing P5 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2021 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301?
Aric Almirola won the 2021 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway driving for Stewart-Haas Racing.
Where was the 2021 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 held?
The 2021 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 was held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 18, 2021.