NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami
Homestead-Miami Speedway — February 27, 2021
Myatt Snider
Winner
179
Laps
40
Entries
11
Leaders
Myatt Snider won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami at Homestead-Miami Speedway on February 27, 2021, leading 5 of 179 laps. Brandon Jones finished second; Daniel Hemric rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, February 27, 2021
Track
Season
2021
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +9 | Myatt Snider |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Brandon Jones |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Daniel Hemric |
| 4 | 5 | +1 | Jeb Burton |
| 5 | 1 | -4 | Austin Cindric |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | Justin Haley |
| 7 | 6 | -1 | Brett Moffitt |
| 8 | 22 | +14 | Ryan Sieg |
| 9 | 9 | — | Jeremy Clements |
| 10 | 20 | +10 | Josh Berry |
| 11 | 29 | +18 | Riley Herbst |
| 12 | 39 | +27 | J.J. Yeley |
| 13 | 18 | +5 | Michael Annett |
| 14 | 24 | +10 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 15 | 25 | +10 | Alex Labbe |
| 16 | 33 | +17 | Timmy Hill |
| 17 | 32 | +15 | Dexter Bean |
| 18 | 27 | +9 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 19 | 11 | -8 | Landon Cassill |
| 20 | 31 | +11 | Jade Buford |
| 21 | 40 | +19 | David Starr |
| 22 | 36 | +14 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 23 | 37 | +14 | Chad Finchum |
| 24 | 35 | +11 | Ryan Vargas |
| 25 | 12 | -13 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 26 | 15 | -11 | Josh Williams |
| 27 | 16 | -11 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 28 | 26 | -2 | Gray Gaulding |
| 29 | 17 | -12 | Matt Mills |
| 30 | 21 | -9 | Santino Ferrucci |
| 31 | 30 | -1 | Stefan Parsons |
| 32 | 14 | -18 | Jesse Little |
| 33 | 23 | -10 | Noah Gragson |
| 34 | 7 | -27 | Brandon Brown |
| 35 | 34 | -1 | Bayley Currey |
| 36 | 28 | -8 | Colby Howard |
| 37 | 13 | -24 | Ty Dillon |
| 38 | 19 | -19 | Justin Allgaier |
| 39 | 3 | -36 | Harrison Burton |
| 40 | 38 | -2 | Tyler Reddick |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 12.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 5 | +10.4 |
| 6 | Justin Haley | 19.9 | 6 | +13.9 |
| 10 | Josh Berry | 22.9 | 10 | +12.9 |
| 11 | Riley Herbst | 21.4 | 11 | +10.4 |
| 12 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 12 | +16.8 |
| 14 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 14 | +4.3 |
| 16 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 16 | +7.9 |
| 21 | David Starr | 20.9 | 21 | -0.1 |
| 23 | Chad Finchum | 26.4 | 23 | +3.4 |
| 33 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 33 | -11.6 |
| 37 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 37 | -13.6 |
| 38 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 38 | -19.7 |
| 40 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 40 | -33.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Myatt Snider: has 7 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 14.4 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 12 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 6.3 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P40 on the day.
- J.J. Yeley: was the biggest surprise, finishing P12 vs predicted P29. Track history: 22 starts, 28.7 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami?
Myatt Snider won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami at Homestead-Miami Speedway.
Where was the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami held?
The 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on February 27, 2021.