NASCAR Xfinity Series at New Hampshire
New Hampshire Motor Speedway — July 17, 2021
Christopher Bell
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
4
Leaders
Christopher Bell won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at New Hampshire at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 17, 2021, leading 151 of 200 laps. Justin Allgaier finished second; Daniel Hemric rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, July 17, 2021
Season
2021
Winner
Leaders
4 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | +13 | Christopher Bell |
| 2 | 5 | +3 | Justin Allgaier |
| 3 | 13 | +10 | Daniel Hemric |
| 4 | 4 | — | Austin Cindric |
| 5 | 10 | +5 | Harrison Burton |
| 6 | 2 | -4 | Justin Haley |
| 7 | 16 | +9 | Myatt Snider |
| 8 | 21 | +13 | Josh Berry |
| 9 | 7 | -2 | Brett Moffitt |
| 10 | 12 | +2 | Riley Herbst |
| 11 | 1 | -10 | Jeb Burton |
| 12 | 6 | -6 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 13 | 11 | -2 | Ryan Sieg |
| 14 | 3 | -11 | Noah Gragson |
| 15 | 8 | -7 | Jeremy Clements |
| 16 | 32 | +16 | Brandon Gdovic |
| 17 | 22 | +5 | Brandon Brown |
| 18 | 18 | — | Jade Buford |
| 19 | 34 | +15 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 20 | 38 | +18 | David Starr |
| 21 | 17 | -4 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 22 | 20 | -2 | Josh Williams |
| 23 | 36 | +13 | J.J. Yeley |
| 24 | 30 | +6 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 25 | 31 | +6 | Landon Cassill |
| 26 | 26 | — | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 27 | 37 | +10 | Dexter Bean |
| 28 | 28 | — | Jesse Little |
| 29 | 19 | -10 | Ryan Vargas |
| 30 | 25 | -5 | Colby Howard |
| 31 | 24 | -7 | Patrick Emerling |
| 32 | 27 | -5 | Matt Mills |
| 33 | 40 | +7 | Spencer Boyd |
| 34 | 33 | -1 | Jordan Anderson |
| 35 | 35 | — | Dawson Cram |
| 36 | 15 | -21 | Alex Labbe |
| 37 | 39 | +2 | C.J. McLaughlin |
| 38 | 23 | -15 | Brandon Jones |
| 39 | 9 | -30 | Sam Mayer |
| 40 | 29 | -11 | Mason Massey |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 10 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christopher Bell | 8.6 | 1 | +7.6 |
| 2 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 2 | +15.7 |
| 4 | Austin Cindric | 17.0 | 4 | +13.0 |
| 6 | Justin Haley | 21.2 | 6 | +15.2 |
| 8 | Josh Berry | 19.0 | 8 | +11.0 |
| 10 | Riley Herbst | 22.1 | 10 | +12.1 |
| 12 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 12 | +6.3 |
| 14 | Noah Gragson | 23.0 | 14 | +9.0 |
| 20 | David Starr | 20.2 | 20 | +0.2 |
| 23 | J.J. Yeley | 28.1 | 23 | +5.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Christopher Bell: has 11 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 4.2 avg finish (7 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Justin Allgaier: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P18. Track history: 15 starts, 15.5 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at New Hampshire?
Christopher Bell won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at New Hampshire at New Hampshire Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at New Hampshire held?
The 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at New Hampshire was held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 17, 2021.