Toyota Owners 400
Richmond Raceway — April 18, 2021
Alex Bowman
Winner
400
Laps
20
Entries
7
Leaders
Alex Bowman won the 2021 Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond Raceway on April 18, 2021, leading 10 of 400 laps. Denny Hamlin finished second; Joey Logano rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | Alex Bowman |
| 2 | 13 | +11 | Denny Hamlin |
| 3 | 3 | — | Joey Logano |
| 4 | 25 | +21 | Christopher Bell |
| 5 | 35 | +30 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 6 | 1 | -5 | Aric Almirola |
| 7 | 4 | -3 | William Byron |
| 8 | 2 | -6 | Kyle Busch |
| 9 | 11 | +2 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 10 | 28 | +18 | Austin Dillon |
| 11 | 10 | -1 | Ryan Blaney |
| 12 | 6 | -6 | Chase Elliott |
| 13 | 30 | +17 | Kurt Busch |
| 14 | 15 | +1 | Brad Keselowski |
| 15 | 19 | +4 | Ross Chastain |
| 16 | 22 | +6 | Daniel Suarez |
| 17 | 14 | -3 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 18 | 5 | -13 | Kyle Larson |
| 19 | 9 | -10 | Erik Jones |
| 20 | 26 | +6 | Tyler Reddick |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | 11 | 6 | — | — |
| Joey Logano | 9 | 12 | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | 16 | 9 | — | — |
| William Byron | 17 | 4 | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | 5 | 5 | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | 10 | 28 | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | 6 | 2 | — | — |
| Chase Elliott | 1 | 7 | — | — |
| Kurt Busch | 2 | 11 | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | 8 | 20 | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | 4 | 15 | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 7 | 8 | — | — |
| Kyle Larson | 3 | 1 | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 5.5 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 1 | +13.0 |
| 2 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 2 | +4.8 |
| 3 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 3 | +9.1 |
| 4 | Christopher Bell | 8.6 | 4 | +4.6 |
| 5 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 5 | +8.8 |
| 7 | William Byron | 10.3 | 7 | +3.3 |
| 8 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 8 | +7.6 |
| 10 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 10 | +7.0 |
| 11 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 11 | -4.2 |
| 12 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 12 | -3.7 |
| 14 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 14 | -2.0 |
| 15 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 15 | -1.2 |
| 16 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 16 | -0.4 |
| 17 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 17 | +3.1 |
| 18 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 18 | -9.4 |
| 19 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 19 | -1.3 |
| 20 | Tyler Reddick | 9.9 | 20 | -10.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Alex Bowman: has 13 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 13.8 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 27 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 9.8 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2021 Toyota Owners 400?
Alex Bowman won the 2021 Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond Raceway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2021 Toyota Owners 400 held?
The 2021 Toyota Owners 400 was held at Richmond Raceway on April 18, 2021.