DuraMAX Drydene 400 presented by RelaDyne
Dover Motor Speedway, May 1, 2022
Chase Elliott
Winner
400
Laps
36
Entries
10
Leaders
Chase Elliott won the 2022 DuraMAX Drydene 400 presented by RelaDyne at Dover Motor Speedway on May 1, 2022, leading 73 of 400 laps. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. finished second; Ross Chastain rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, May 1, 2022
Track
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Chase Elliott |
| 2 | 15 | +13 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 3 | 7 | +4 | Ross Chastain |
| 4 | 17 | +13 | Christopher Bell |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | Alex Bowman |
| 6 | 3 | -3 | Kyle Larson |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | Kyle Busch |
| 8 | 1 | -7 | Chris Buescher |
| 9 | 11 | +2 | Kevin Harvick |
| 10 | 25 | +15 | Erik Jones |
| 11 | 14 | +3 | Justin Haley |
| 12 | 18 | +6 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 13 | 23 | +10 | Chase Briscoe |
| 14 | 8 | -6 | Daniel Suarez |
| 15 | 30 | +15 | Cole Custer |
| 16 | 9 | -7 | Bubba Wallace |
| 17 | 29 | +12 | Michael McDowell |
| 18 | 21 | +3 | Corey LaJoie |
| 19 | 27 | +8 | Aric Almirola |
| 20 | 20 | — | Brad Keselowski |
| 21 | 2 | -19 | Denny Hamlin |
| 22 | 33 | +11 | William Byron |
| 23 | 24 | +1 | Austin Dillon |
| 24 | 35 | +11 | Harrison Burton |
| 25 | 13 | -12 | Ryan Preece |
| 26 | 5 | -21 | Ryan Blaney |
| 27 | 31 | +4 | Ty Dillon |
| 28 | 34 | +6 | Todd Gilliland |
| 29 | 22 | -7 | Joey Logano |
| 30 | 26 | -4 | Tyler Reddick |
| 31 | 16 | -15 | Kurt Busch |
| 32 | 36 | +4 | Josh Bilicki |
| 33 | 19 | -14 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 34 | 28 | -6 | Cody Ware |
| 35 | 32 | -3 | B.J. McLeod |
| 36 | 12 | -24 | Austin Cindric |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 5 | 4 | — | 13 |
| Ross Chastain | 4 | 6 | — | 12 |
| Kyle Busch | 9 | 2 | — | 11 |
| Chase Elliott | 2 | 10 | — | 10 |
| Denny Hamlin | 1 | — | — | 10 |
| Ryan Blaney | — | 1 | — | 10 |
| Christopher Bell | 3 | — | — | 8 |
| Alex Bowman | — | 3 | — | 8 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | 5 | — | 6 |
| Kyle Larson | 6 | — | — | 5 |
| Chris Buescher | 8 | 9 | — | 5 |
| Erik Jones | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| William Byron | 7 | — | — | 4 |
| Harrison Burton | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Brad Keselowski | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Kevin Harvick | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
| Kurt Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Bilicki | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 31 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.9 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 1 | +7.3 |
| 2 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.2 | 2 | +18.2 |
| 3 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 3 | +10.8 |
| 4 | Christopher Bell | 9.9 | 4 | +5.9 |
| 5 | Alex Bowman | 15.0 | 5 | +10.0 |
| 6 | Kyle Larson | 9.9 | 6 | +3.9 |
| 8 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 8 | +2.3 |
| 10 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 10 | +7.7 |
| 11 | Justin Haley | 21.2 | 11 | +10.2 |
| 12 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 14.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| 13 | Chase Briscoe | 12.1 | 13 | -0.9 |
| 14 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 14 | +1.6 |
| 15 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 15 | +8.0 |
| 16 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 16 | -2.0 |
| 17 | Michael McDowell | 14.7 | 17 | -2.3 |
| 18 | Corey LaJoie | 24.9 | 18 | +6.9 |
| 20 | Brad Keselowski | 12.6 | 20 | -7.4 |
| 21 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 21 | -14.2 |
| 22 | William Byron | 12.0 | 22 | -10.0 |
| 23 | Austin Dillon | 15.6 | 23 | -7.4 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Chase Elliott: has 13 career starts at Dover Motor Speedway with a 10.2 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 14 career starts at Dover Motor Speedway with a 9.6 avg finish (4 wins), finishing P21 on the day.
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P20. Track history: 14 starts, 20.6 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 DuraMAX Drydene 400 presented by RelaDyne?
Chase Elliott won the 2022 DuraMAX Drydene 400 presented by RelaDyne at Dover Motor Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2022 DuraMAX Drydene 400 presented by RelaDyne held?
The 2022 DuraMAX Drydene 400 presented by RelaDyne was held at Dover Motor Speedway on May 1, 2022.