AdventHealth 400
Kansas Speedway — May 15, 2022
Kurt Busch
Winner
267
Laps
36
Entries
10
Leaders
Kurt Busch won the 2022 AdventHealth 400 at Kansas Speedway on May 15, 2022, leading 116 of 267 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Kurt Busch |
| 2 | 8 | +6 | Kyle Larson |
| 3 | 17 | +14 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | 14 | +10 | Denny Hamlin |
| 5 | 5 | — | Christopher Bell |
| 6 | 1 | -5 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 7 | 18 | +11 | Ross Chastain |
| 8 | 24 | +16 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 9 | 27 | +18 | Alex Bowman |
| 10 | 4 | -6 | Bubba Wallace |
| 11 | 28 | +17 | Austin Cindric |
| 12 | 11 | -1 | Ryan Blaney |
| 13 | 30 | +17 | Austin Dillon |
| 14 | 9 | -5 | Brad Keselowski |
| 15 | 10 | -5 | Kevin Harvick |
| 16 | 6 | -10 | William Byron |
| 17 | 12 | -5 | Joey Logano |
| 18 | — | — | Noah Gragson |
| 19 | 21 | +2 | Corey LaJoie |
| 20 | 35 | +15 | Ty Dillon |
| 21 | — | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 22 | — | — | Kurt Busch |
| 23 | — | — | Cody Ware |
| 24 | — | — | Landon Cassill |
| 25 | — | — | Denny Hamlin |
| 26 | — | — | Joey Logano |
| 27 | — | — | Garrett Smithley |
| 28 | — | — | Ty Dillon |
| 29 | 2 | -27 | Chase Elliott |
| 30 | 13 | -17 | Tyler Reddick |
| 31 | — | — | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 32 | — | — | Alex Bowman |
| 33 | — | — | Chris Buescher |
| 34 | — | — | Noah Gragson |
| 35 | — | — | Austin Dillon |
| 36 | — | — | B.J. McLeod |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Kevin Harvick | 5 | 2 | — | 15 |
| Chase Elliott | 4 | 3 | — | 15 |
| Kyle Larson | 3 | 5 | — | 14 |
| Bubba Wallace | 2 | 10 | — | 10 |
| Kurt Busch | 7 | 6 | — | 9 |
| Christopher Bell | 6 | 9 | — | 7 |
| Joey Logano | 11 | 4 | — | 7 |
| William Byron | 9 | 8 | — | 5 |
| Ross Chastain | 13 | 7 | — | 4 |
| Denny Hamlin | 10 | 12 | — | 1 |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Kurt Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Denny Hamlin | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Garrett Smithley | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 23 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 2 | +10.7 |
| 3 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 3 | +14.0 |
| 4 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 4 | +4.2 |
| 5 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 5 | +5.7 |
| 6 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 6 | +9.4 |
| 7 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 7 | +6.3 |
| 8 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 8 | +11.9 |
| 9 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 9 | +4.5 |
| 10 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 10 | +2.7 |
| 11 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 11 | +4.4 |
| 12 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 12 | -2.8 |
| 13 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 13 | +4.1 |
| 14 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 14 | -2.8 |
| 16 | William Byron | 10.7 | 16 | -5.3 |
| 17 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 17 | -2.3 |
| 18 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 18 | +3.4 |
| 19 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 19 | +3.2 |
| 20 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 20 | +3.4 |
| 23 | Cody Ware | 56.1 | 23 | +33.1 |
| 29 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 29 | -21.2 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kurt Busch: has 34 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 15.3 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 14.2 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P30 on the day.
- Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P23 vs predicted P56. Track history: 6 starts, 29.8 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 AdventHealth 400?
Kurt Busch won the 2022 AdventHealth 400 at Kansas Speedway driving for 23XI Racing.
Where was the 2022 AdventHealth 400 held?
The 2022 AdventHealth 400 was held at Kansas Speedway on May 15, 2022.