South Point 400
Las Vegas Motor Speedway — October 16, 2022
Joey Logano
Winner
267
Laps
24
Entries
11
Leaders
Joey Logano won the 2022 South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on October 16, 2022, leading 32 of 267 laps. Ross Chastain finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 16, 2022
Track
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | Joey Logano |
| 2 | 16 | +14 | Ross Chastain |
| 3 | 15 | +12 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | 14 | +10 | Chase Briscoe |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | Denny Hamlin |
| 6 | 4 | -2 | Tyler Reddick |
| 7 | 17 | +10 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 8 | 30 | +22 | Erik Jones |
| 9 | 20 | +11 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 10 | 21 | +11 | Austin Dillon |
| 11 | — | — | Noah Gragson |
| 12 | 18 | +6 | Kevin Harvick |
| 13 | 24 | +11 | William Byron |
| 14 | 9 | -5 | Justin Haley |
| 15 | 22 | +7 | Chris Buescher |
| 16 | 2 | -14 | Daniel Suarez |
| 17 | 26 | +9 | Brad Keselowski |
| 18 | 25 | +7 | Aric Almirola |
| 19 | 27 | +8 | Michael McDowell |
| 20 | 3 | -17 | Cole Custer |
| 23 | 28 | +5 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 28 | 1 | -27 | Ryan Blaney |
| 29 | 10 | -19 | Austin Cindric |
| 36 | 23 | -13 | Bubba Wallace |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Blaney | 2 | 4 | — | 16 |
| Joey Logano | 4 | 3 | — | 15 |
| Denny Hamlin | 17 | 1 | — | 10 |
| Daniel Suarez | 1 | 37 | — | 10 |
| Kyle Busch | 30 | 2 | — | 9 |
| Aric Almirola | 28 | 5 | — | 6 |
| Austin Dillon | 27 | 6 | — | 5 |
| Justin Haley | 6 | 29 | — | 5 |
| Ross Chastain | 13 | 8 | — | 3 |
| Chase Briscoe | 8 | 26 | — | 3 |
| Austin Cindric | 10 | 9 | — | 3 |
| Bubba Wallace | 20 | 10 | — | 1 |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 22 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.2 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 1 | +13.7 |
| 2 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 2 | +11.3 |
| 3 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 3 | +14.0 |
| 4 | Chase Briscoe | 11.9 | 4 | +7.9 |
| 5 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 5 | +3.2 |
| 6 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 6 | +0.2 |
| 7 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 7 | +8.4 |
| 8 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 8 | +8.7 |
| 9 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 9 | +9.3 |
| 10 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 10 | +7.1 |
| 11 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 11 | +10.4 |
| 13 | William Byron | 10.7 | 13 | -2.3 |
| 14 | Justin Haley | 19.9 | 14 | +5.9 |
| 15 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 15 | -5.8 |
| 16 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 16 | -2.0 |
| 17 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 17 | -5.8 |
| 19 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 19 | -2.0 |
| 20 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 20 | +2.9 |
| 23 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 23 | -3.1 |
| 28 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 28 | -18.8 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Joey Logano: has 28 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 10.3 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P6 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P17. Track history: 52 starts, 11.3 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 South Point 400?
Joey Logano won the 2022 South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2022 South Point 400 held?
The 2022 South Point 400 was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on October 16, 2022.