Toyota/Save Mart 350
Sonoma Raceway — June 12, 2022
Daniel Suarez
Winner
110
Laps
37
Entries
6
Leaders
Daniel Suarez won the 2022 Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway on June 12, 2022, leading 47 of 110 laps. Chris Buescher finished second; Michael McDowell rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | +14 | Daniel Suarez |
| 2 | 19 | +17 | Chris Buescher |
| 3 | 14 | +11 | Michael McDowell |
| 4 | 16 | +12 | Kevin Harvick |
| 5 | 5 | — | Austin Cindric |
| 6 | 24 | +18 | Ryan Blaney |
| 7 | 22 | +15 | Ross Chastain |
| 8 | 13 | +5 | Chase Elliott |
| 9 | 20 | +11 | William Byron |
| 10 | 33 | +23 | Brad Keselowski |
| 11 | 26 | +15 | Austin Dillon |
| 12 | 21 | +9 | Justin Haley |
| 13 | 23 | +10 | Chase Briscoe |
| 14 | 18 | +4 | Aric Almirola |
| 15 | 8 | -7 | Kyle Larson |
| 16 | 30 | +14 | Alex Bowman |
| 17 | 4 | -13 | Joey Logano |
| 18 | — | — | Kurt Busch |
| 19 | — | — | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 20 | — | — | Joey Hand |
| 21 | — | — | Josh Bilicki |
| 22 | — | — | Cody Ware |
| 23 | — | — | B.J. McLeod |
| 24 | — | — | Ross Chastain |
| 25 | — | — | Daniel Suarez |
| 26 | — | — | Christopher Bell |
| 27 | — | — | Todd Gilliland |
| 28 | — | — | Michael McDowell |
| 29 | — | — | Tyler Reddick |
| 30 | — | — | Noah Gragson |
| 31 | — | — | Cole Custer |
| 32 | — | — | Harrison Burton |
| 33 | — | — | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 34 | — | — | Aric Almirola |
| 35 | — | — | J.J. Yeley |
| 36 | — | — | Kyle Busch |
| 37 | — | — | Austin Cindric |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Suarez | 18 | 2 | — | 9 |
| Kyle Larson | 11 | 3 | — | 8 |
| Chris Buescher | 5 | 18 | — | 6 |
| William Byron | 7 | 9 | — | 6 |
| Brad Keselowski | 19 | 5 | — | 6 |
| Ross Chastain | 6 | 11 | — | 5 |
| Austin Dillon | 20 | 7 | — | 4 |
| Kevin Harvick | 8 | 13 | — | 3 |
| Alex Bowman | 17 | 8 | — | 3 |
| Joey Logano | 9 | 10 | — | 3 |
| Chase Briscoe | 10 | 15 | — | 1 |
| Kurt Busch | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Hand | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Bilicki | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Bell | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 27 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.4 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Suarez | 16.8 | 1 | +15.8 |
| 2 | Chris Buescher | 10.2 | 2 | +8.2 |
| 3 | Michael McDowell | 13.0 | 3 | +10.0 |
| 5 | Austin Cindric | 20.2 | 5 | +15.2 |
| 6 | Ryan Blaney | 12.7 | 6 | +6.7 |
| 7 | Ross Chastain | 16.2 | 7 | +9.2 |
| 8 | Chase Elliott | 7.2 | 8 | -0.8 |
| 9 | William Byron | 11.5 | 9 | +2.5 |
| 10 | Brad Keselowski | 16.7 | 10 | +6.7 |
| 11 | Austin Dillon | 21.4 | 11 | +10.4 |
| 12 | Justin Haley | 25.7 | 12 | +13.7 |
| 13 | Chase Briscoe | 16.7 | 13 | +3.7 |
| 15 | Kyle Larson | 12.9 | 15 | -2.1 |
| 16 | Alex Bowman | 16.7 | 16 | +0.7 |
| 17 | Joey Logano | 12.7 | 17 | -4.3 |
| 19 | A.J. Allmendinger | 16.5 | 19 | -2.5 |
| 21 | Josh Bilicki | 29.0 | 21 | +8.0 |
| 22 | Cody Ware | 28.5 | 22 | +6.5 |
| 23 | B.J. McLeod | 20.8 | 23 | -2.2 |
| 26 | Christopher Bell | 7.2 | 26 | -18.8 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Daniel Suarez: has 11 career starts at Sonoma Raceway with a 18.9 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Sonoma Raceway with a 8.9 avg finish, finishing P8 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 Toyota/Save Mart 350?
Daniel Suarez won the 2022 Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway driving for Trackhouse Racing.
Where was the 2022 Toyota/Save Mart 350 held?
The 2022 Toyota/Save Mart 350 was held at Sonoma Raceway on June 12, 2022.