GEICO 500
Talladega Superspeedway — April 24, 2022
Ross Chastain
Winner
188
Laps
36
Entries
16
Leaders
Ross Chastain won the 2022 GEICO 500 at Talladega Superspeedway on April 24, 2022, leading 1 of 188 laps. Austin Dillon finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 16 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, April 24, 2022
Track
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
16 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | +11 | Ross Chastain |
| 2 | 20 | +18 | Austin Dillon |
| 3 | 13 | +10 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | 3 | -1 | Kyle Larson |
| 5 | 15 | +10 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 6 | 27 | +21 | Erik Jones |
| 7 | 1 | -6 | Chase Elliott |
| 8 | 6 | -2 | Michael McDowell |
| 9 | 8 | -1 | Alex Bowman |
| 10 | 28 | +18 | Kevin Harvick |
| 11 | 19 | +8 | Ryan Blaney |
| 12 | 34 | +22 | Justin Haley |
| 13 | 24 | +11 | Aric Almirola |
| 14 | 35 | +21 | Corey LaJoie |
| 15 | 29 | +14 | William Byron |
| 16 | 22 | +6 | Kurt Busch |
| 17 | 25 | +8 | Bubba Wallace |
| 18 | 14 | -4 | Denny Hamlin |
| 19 | — | — | Landon Cassill |
| 20 | — | — | Noah Gragson |
| 21 | — | — | Cole Custer |
| 22 | 16 | -6 | Christopher Bell |
| 23 | — | — | Ty Dillon |
| 24 | — | — | Todd Gilliland |
| 25 | — | — | J.J. Yeley |
| 26 | — | — | B.J. McLeod |
| 27 | — | — | Christopher Bell |
| 28 | — | — | Harrison Burton |
| 29 | 10 | -19 | Cole Custer |
| 30 | — | — | Kyle Busch |
| 31 | 17 | -14 | Daniel Suarez |
| 32 | 18 | -14 | Joey Logano |
| 33 | — | — | Scott Heckert |
| 34 | — | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 35 | — | — | Tyler Reddick |
| 36 | — | — | Bubba Wallace |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Busch | 5 | 4 | — | 13 |
| Ryan Blaney | 29 | 1 | — | 10 |
| Erik Jones | 8 | 5 | — | 9 |
| Alex Bowman | 3 | 24 | — | 8 |
| Justin Haley | 9 | 6 | — | 7 |
| Bubba Wallace | 7 | 8 | — | 7 |
| Joey Logano | 4 | 11 | — | 7 |
| Chase Elliott | 10 | 9 | — | 3 |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Bell | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Scott Heckert | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 25 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.2 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross Chastain | 17.4 | 1 | +16.4 |
| 2 | Austin Dillon | 23.4 | 2 | +21.4 |
| 3 | Kyle Busch | 15.1 | 3 | +12.1 |
| 4 | Kyle Larson | 18.5 | 4 | +14.5 |
| 5 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 20.1 | 5 | +15.1 |
| 6 | Erik Jones | 18.5 | 6 | +12.5 |
| 7 | Chase Elliott | 10.4 | 7 | +3.4 |
| 8 | Michael McDowell | 20.0 | 8 | +12.0 |
| 9 | Alex Bowman | 15.1 | 9 | +6.1 |
| 11 | Ryan Blaney | 13.9 | 11 | +2.9 |
| 12 | Justin Haley | 23.4 | 12 | +11.4 |
| 14 | Corey LaJoie | 23.3 | 14 | +9.3 |
| 15 | William Byron | 13.9 | 15 | -1.1 |
| 17 | Bubba Wallace | 16.0 | 17 | -1.0 |
| 18 | Denny Hamlin | 16.0 | 18 | -2.0 |
| 20 | Noah Gragson | 24.0 | 20 | +4.0 |
| 21 | Cole Custer | 23.4 | 21 | +2.4 |
| 22 | Christopher Bell | 17.4 | 22 | -4.6 |
| 23 | Ty Dillon | 21.1 | 23 | -1.9 |
| 24 | Todd Gilliland | 22.9 | 24 | -1.1 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ross Chastain: has 23 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 17.7 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 14.3 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P7 on the day.
- Austin Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P23. Track history: 28 starts, 14.7 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 GEICO 500?
Ross Chastain won the 2022 GEICO 500 at Talladega Superspeedway driving for Trackhouse Racing.
Where was the 2022 GEICO 500 held?
The 2022 GEICO 500 was held at Talladega Superspeedway on April 24, 2022.