DuraMAX Drydene 400 presented by RelaDyne
Dover Motor Speedway — May 1, 2022
Chase Elliott
Winner
400
Laps
36
Entries
10
Leaders
Chase Elliott won the 2022 DuraMAX Drydene 400 presented by RelaDyne at Dover Motor Speedway on May 1, 2022, leading 73 of 400 laps. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. finished second; Ross Chastain rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, May 1, 2022
Track
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Chase Elliott |
| 2 | 20 | +18 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Ross Chastain |
| 4 | 15 | +11 | Christopher Bell |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | Alex Bowman |
| 6 | 3 | -3 | Kyle Larson |
| 7 | 19 | +12 | Kyle Busch |
| 8 | 11 | +3 | Chris Buescher |
| 9 | 10 | +1 | Kevin Harvick |
| 10 | 25 | +15 | Erik Jones |
| 11 | 24 | +13 | Justin Haley |
| 12 | 9 | -3 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 13 | 14 | +1 | Chase Briscoe |
| 14 | 7 | -7 | Daniel Suarez |
| 15 | 18 | +3 | Cole Custer |
| 16 | 32 | +16 | Bubba Wallace |
| 17 | 12 | -5 | Michael McDowell |
| 18 | 30 | +12 | Corey LaJoie |
| 19 | 22 | +3 | Aric Almirola |
| 20 | 31 | +11 | Brad Keselowski |
| 21 | 16 | -5 | Denny Hamlin |
| 22 | — | — | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 23 | — | — | Justin Haley |
| 24 | — | — | Todd Gilliland |
| 25 | — | — | Harrison Burton |
| 26 | 6 | -20 | Ryan Blaney |
| 27 | — | — | Cody Ware |
| 28 | — | — | J.J. Yeley |
| 29 | — | — | Brad Keselowski |
| 30 | — | — | Chris Buescher |
| 31 | — | — | Ty Dillon |
| 32 | — | — | B.J. McLeod |
| 33 | — | — | Josh Bilicki |
| 34 | — | — | Chase Briscoe |
| 35 | — | — | William Byron |
| 36 | — | — | Alex Bowman |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Elliott | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Ryan Blaney | 4 | 4 | — | 14 |
| Ross Chastain | 3 | 9 | — | 10 |
| Alex Bowman | 2 | 12 | — | 9 |
| Brad Keselowski | 20 | 3 | — | 8 |
| Christopher Bell | 10 | 6 | — | 6 |
| Kyle Busch | 6 | 30 | — | 5 |
| Denny Hamlin | 8 | 13 | — | 3 |
| Kyle Larson | 9 | 22 | — | 2 |
| Corey LaJoie | 22 | 10 | — | 1 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Bilicki | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| William Byron | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 27 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.3 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 1 | +7.3 |
| 2 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 2 | +18.1 |
| 3 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 3 | +10.8 |
| 4 | Christopher Bell | 8.6 | 4 | +4.6 |
| 5 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 5 | +9.0 |
| 6 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 6 | +2.6 |
| 7 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 7 | +8.6 |
| 8 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 8 | +2.3 |
| 10 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 10 | +7.7 |
| 11 | Justin Haley | 21.2 | 11 | +10.2 |
| 12 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 12 | +1.8 |
| 13 | Chase Briscoe | 12.6 | 13 | -0.4 |
| 14 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 14 | +1.6 |
| 15 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 15 | +8.0 |
| 16 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 16 | -2.0 |
| 17 | Michael McDowell | 15.0 | 17 | -2.0 |
| 18 | Corey LaJoie | 24.9 | 18 | +6.9 |
| 20 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 20 | -8.0 |
| 21 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 21 | -14.2 |
| 24 | Todd Gilliland | 17.1 | 24 | -6.9 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Chase Elliott: has 13 career starts at Dover Motor Speedway with a 9.6 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 14 career starts at Dover Motor Speedway with a 11.8 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P21 on the day.
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P20. Track history: 11 starts, 17.3 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 DuraMAX Drydene 400 presented by RelaDyne?
Chase Elliott won the 2022 DuraMAX Drydene 400 presented by RelaDyne at Dover Motor Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2022 DuraMAX Drydene 400 presented by RelaDyne held?
The 2022 DuraMAX Drydene 400 presented by RelaDyne was held at Dover Motor Speedway on May 1, 2022.