Dixie Vodka 400
Homestead-Miami Speedway, October 23, 2022
Kyle Larson
Winner
267
Laps
36
Entries
5
Leaders
Kyle Larson won the 2022 Dixie Vodka 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway on October 23, 2022, leading 199 of 267 laps. Ross Chastain finished second; A.J. Allmendinger rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 23, 2022
Track
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +4 | Kyle Larson |
| 2 | 20 | +18 | Ross Chastain |
| 3 | 10 | +7 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 4 | 32 | +28 | Austin Dillon |
| 5 | 9 | +4 | Brad Keselowski |
| 6 | 12 | +6 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 7 | 14 | +7 | Denny Hamlin |
| 8 | 16 | +8 | Kevin Harvick |
| 9 | 11 | +2 | Kyle Busch |
| 10 | 23 | +13 | Daniel Suarez |
| 11 | 2 | -9 | Christopher Bell |
| 12 | 1 | -11 | William Byron |
| 13 | 8 | -5 | Chris Buescher |
| 14 | 3 | -11 | Chase Elliott |
| 15 | 27 | +12 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 16 | 18 | +2 | Michael McDowell |
| 17 | 13 | -4 | Ryan Blaney |
| 18 | 17 | -1 | Joey Logano |
| 19 | 26 | +7 | Austin Cindric |
| 20 | 21 | +1 | Harrison Burton |
| 21 | 28 | +7 | Aric Almirola |
| 22 | 6 | -16 | Ty Gibbs |
| 23 | 31 | +8 | Corey LaJoie |
| 24 | 25 | +1 | Cole Custer |
| 25 | 24 | -1 | Noah Gragson |
| 26 | 30 | +4 | Ty Dillon |
| 27 | 4 | -23 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 28 | 15 | -13 | Justin Haley |
| 29 | 33 | +4 | Landon Cassill |
| 30 | 22 | -8 | Erik Jones |
| 31 | 29 | -2 | Todd Gilliland |
| 32 | 34 | +2 | J.J. Yeley |
| 33 | 35 | +2 | B.J. McLeod |
| 34 | 36 | +2 | Cody Ware |
| 35 | 7 | -28 | Tyler Reddick |
| 36 | 19 | -17 | Chase Briscoe |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 3 | 2 | — | 17 |
| William Byron | 2 | 3 | — | 17 |
| Brad Keselowski | 7 | 5 | — | 10 |
| Ryan Blaney | 9 | 4 | — | 9 |
| Chase Elliott | 8 | 6 | — | 8 |
| Tyler Reddick | 4 | — | — | 7 |
| Austin Dillon | 5 | — | — | 6 |
| Daniel Suarez | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| Ross Chastain | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Joey Logano | 10 | 9 | — | 3 |
| Denny Hamlin | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| A.J. Allmendinger | 6 | — | — | — |
| Kevin Harvick | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Bell | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 31 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.5 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 13.1 | 1 | +12.1 |
| 2 | Ross Chastain | 14.5 | 2 | +12.5 |
| 3 | A.J. Allmendinger | 17.1 | 3 | +14.1 |
| 4 | Austin Dillon | 19.9 | 4 | +15.9 |
| 5 | Brad Keselowski | 15.4 | 5 | +10.4 |
| 6 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 6 | +9.4 |
| 7 | Denny Hamlin | 6.2 | 7 | -0.8 |
| 10 | Daniel Suarez | 12.7 | 10 | +2.7 |
| 11 | Christopher Bell | 9.2 | 11 | -1.8 |
| 12 | William Byron | 10.7 | 12 | -1.3 |
| 13 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 13 | -3.8 |
| 14 | Chase Elliott | 10.1 | 14 | -3.9 |
| 15 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 15 | +4.9 |
| 16 | Michael McDowell | 16.9 | 16 | +0.9 |
| 17 | Ryan Blaney | 8.2 | 17 | -8.8 |
| 18 | Joey Logano | 11.9 | 18 | -6.1 |
| 19 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 19 | -3.6 |
| 22 | Ty Gibbs | 10.7 | 22 | -11.3 |
| 23 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 23 | -0.8 |
| 24 | Cole Custer | 22.0 | 24 | -2.0 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Larson: has 21 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 9.3 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 27 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 10.5 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P7 on the day.
- Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P34 vs predicted P57. Track history: 3 starts, 33.3 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 Dixie Vodka 400?
Kyle Larson won the 2022 Dixie Vodka 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2022 Dixie Vodka 400 held?
The 2022 Dixie Vodka 400 was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on October 23, 2022.