AdventHealth 400
Kansas Speedway, May 15, 2022
Kurt Busch
Winner
267
Laps
36
Entries
10
Leaders
Kurt Busch won the 2022 AdventHealth 400 at Kansas Speedway on May 15, 2022, leading 116 of 267 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +4 | Kurt Busch |
| 2 | 3 | +1 | Kyle Larson |
| 3 | 6 | +3 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | 18 | +14 | Denny Hamlin |
| 5 | 1 | -4 | Christopher Bell |
| 6 | 9 | +3 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 7 | 11 | +4 | Ross Chastain |
| 8 | 36 | +28 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 9 | 8 | -1 | Alex Bowman |
| 10 | 24 | +14 | Bubba Wallace |
| 11 | 4 | -7 | Austin Cindric |
| 12 | 10 | -2 | Ryan Blaney |
| 13 | 21 | +8 | Austin Dillon |
| 14 | 30 | +16 | Brad Keselowski |
| 15 | 23 | +8 | Kevin Harvick |
| 16 | 13 | -3 | William Byron |
| 17 | 34 | +17 | Joey Logano |
| 18 | 28 | +10 | Noah Gragson |
| 19 | 20 | +1 | Corey LaJoie |
| 20 | 17 | -3 | Ty Dillon |
| 21 | 26 | +5 | Harrison Burton |
| 22 | 16 | -6 | Cole Custer |
| 23 | 25 | +2 | Michael McDowell |
| 24 | 12 | -12 | Chase Briscoe |
| 25 | 31 | +6 | Todd Gilliland |
| 26 | 7 | -19 | Aric Almirola |
| 27 | 35 | +8 | Chris Buescher |
| 28 | 33 | +5 | Josh Bilicki |
| 29 | 14 | -15 | Chase Elliott |
| 30 | 2 | -28 | Tyler Reddick |
| 31 | 27 | -4 | J.J. Yeley |
| 32 | 22 | -10 | Erik Jones |
| 33 | 19 | -14 | Daniel Suarez |
| 34 | 29 | -5 | Cody Ware |
| 35 | 15 | -20 | Justin Haley |
| 36 | 32 | -4 | B.J. McLeod |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Busch | 1 | 2 | — | 19 |
| Chase Elliott | 3 | 5 | — | 14 |
| Ross Chastain | 2 | 7 | — | 13 |
| Kurt Busch | — | 1 | — | 10 |
| Ryan Blaney | 9 | 3 | — | 10 |
| Austin Cindric | — | 4 | — | 7 |
| Tyler Reddick | 4 | — | — | 7 |
| William Byron | 5 | — | — | 6 |
| Kyle Larson | — | 6 | — | 5 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 6 | — | — | 5 |
| Bubba Wallace | 7 | 10 | — | 5 |
| Denny Hamlin | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Erik Jones | 8 | — | — | 3 |
| Joey Logano | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Alex Bowman | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Christopher Bell | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Harvick | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Bilicki | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 31 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.6 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kyle Larson | 13.1 | 2 | +11.1 |
| 4 | Denny Hamlin | 6.2 | 4 | +2.2 |
| 5 | Christopher Bell | 9.2 | 5 | +4.2 |
| 6 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 6 | +9.4 |
| 7 | Ross Chastain | 14.5 | 7 | +7.5 |
| 8 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 8 | +11.9 |
| 9 | Alex Bowman | 16.2 | 9 | +7.2 |
| 10 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 10 | +2.7 |
| 11 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 11 | +4.4 |
| 12 | Ryan Blaney | 8.2 | 12 | -3.8 |
| 13 | Austin Dillon | 19.9 | 13 | +6.9 |
| 14 | Brad Keselowski | 15.4 | 14 | +1.4 |
| 16 | William Byron | 10.7 | 16 | -5.3 |
| 17 | Joey Logano | 11.9 | 17 | -5.1 |
| 18 | Noah Gragson | 22.9 | 18 | +4.9 |
| 19 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 19 | +3.2 |
| 20 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 20 | +2.9 |
| 22 | Cole Custer | 22.0 | 22 | 0.0 |
| 23 | Michael McDowell | 16.9 | 23 | -6.1 |
| 24 | Chase Briscoe | 7.8 | 24 | -16.2 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kurt Busch: has 33 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 15.1 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 40 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.4 avg finish (5 wins), finishing P4 on the day.
- Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P34 vs predicted P57. Track history: 9 starts, 32.7 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 AdventHealth 400?
Kurt Busch won the 2022 AdventHealth 400 at Kansas Speedway driving for Richard Childress Racing.
Where was the 2022 AdventHealth 400 held?
The 2022 AdventHealth 400 was held at Kansas Speedway on May 15, 2022.