Hollywood Casino 400
Kansas Speedway, September 11, 2022
Bubba Wallace
Winner
267
Laps
36
Entries
12
Leaders
Bubba Wallace won the 2022 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway on September 11, 2022, leading 58 of 267 laps. Denny Hamlin finished second; Christopher Bell rounded out the podium. The race featured 12 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, September 11, 2022
Track
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
12 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | Bubba Wallace |
| 2 | 25 | +23 | Denny Hamlin |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Christopher Bell |
| 4 | 3 | -1 | Alex Bowman |
| 5 | 12 | +7 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 6 | 9 | +3 | William Byron |
| 7 | 5 | -2 | Ross Chastain |
| 8 | 7 | -1 | Kyle Larson |
| 9 | 17 | +8 | Ryan Blaney |
| 10 | 15 | +5 | Daniel Suarez |
| 11 | 22 | +11 | Chase Elliott |
| 12 | 8 | -4 | Austin Cindric |
| 13 | 13 | — | Chase Briscoe |
| 14 | 11 | -3 | Austin Dillon |
| 15 | 10 | -5 | Chris Buescher |
| 16 | 23 | +7 | Michael McDowell |
| 17 | 2 | -15 | Joey Logano |
| 18 | 28 | +10 | Noah Gragson |
| 19 | 27 | +8 | Justin Haley |
| 20 | 21 | +1 | Ty Dillon |
| 21 | 36 | +15 | Aric Almirola |
| 22 | 29 | +7 | Cole Custer |
| 23 | 32 | +9 | Todd Gilliland |
| 24 | 31 | +7 | Landon Cassill |
| 25 | 26 | +1 | Brad Keselowski |
| 26 | 20 | -6 | Kyle Busch |
| 27 | 30 | +3 | Cody Ware |
| 28 | 33 | +5 | J.J. Yeley |
| 29 | 24 | -5 | Erik Jones |
| 30 | 35 | +5 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 31 | 34 | +3 | B.J. McLeod |
| 32 | 18 | -14 | Harrison Burton |
| 33 | 19 | -14 | Corey LaJoie |
| 34 | 16 | -18 | Ty Gibbs |
| 35 | 1 | -34 | Tyler Reddick |
| 36 | 14 | -22 | Kevin Harvick |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Bell | 1 | 2 | — | 19 |
| Bubba Wallace | 5 | 4 | — | 13 |
| Ryan Blaney | 2 | 9 | — | 11 |
| Chase Elliott | 6 | 5 | — | 11 |
| Alex Bowman | — | 1 | — | 10 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 3 | — | — | 8 |
| William Byron | — | 3 | — | 8 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 4 | — | — | 7 |
| Denny Hamlin | — | 6 | — | 5 |
| Joey Logano | 9 | 8 | — | 5 |
| Ross Chastain | 8 | 10 | — | 4 |
| Kyle Larson | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| Kyle Busch | 7 | — | — | 4 |
| Austin Dillon | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Harvick | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 31 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.6 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 1 | +11.7 |
| 2 | Denny Hamlin | 6.2 | 2 | +4.2 |
| 3 | Christopher Bell | 9.2 | 3 | +6.2 |
| 4 | Alex Bowman | 16.2 | 4 | +12.2 |
| 5 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 5 | +10.4 |
| 6 | William Byron | 10.7 | 6 | +4.7 |
| 7 | Ross Chastain | 14.5 | 7 | +7.5 |
| 8 | Kyle Larson | 13.1 | 8 | +5.1 |
| 9 | Ryan Blaney | 8.2 | 9 | -0.8 |
| 10 | Daniel Suarez | 12.7 | 10 | +2.7 |
| 11 | Chase Elliott | 10.1 | 11 | -0.9 |
| 12 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 12 | +3.4 |
| 13 | Chase Briscoe | 7.8 | 13 | -5.2 |
| 14 | Austin Dillon | 19.9 | 14 | +5.9 |
| 15 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 15 | -5.8 |
| 16 | Michael McDowell | 16.9 | 16 | +0.9 |
| 17 | Joey Logano | 11.9 | 17 | -5.1 |
| 18 | Noah Gragson | 22.9 | 18 | +4.9 |
| 19 | Justin Haley | 20.9 | 19 | +1.9 |
| 20 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 20 | +2.9 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Bubba Wallace: has 22 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 18.7 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 40 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.4 avg finish (5 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
- Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P27 vs predicted P57. Track history: 9 starts, 32.7 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 Hollywood Casino 400?
Bubba Wallace won the 2022 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway driving for 23XI Racing.
Where was the 2022 Hollywood Casino 400 held?
The 2022 Hollywood Casino 400 was held at Kansas Speedway on September 11, 2022.