Hollywood Casino 400

Kansas Speedway — September 11, 2022

Bubba Wallace
Winner
311
Laps
36
Entries
12
Leaders

Bubba Wallace won the 2022 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway on September 11, 2022, leading 58 of 311 laps. Denny Hamlin finished second; Christopher Bell rounded out the podium. The race featured 12 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, September 11, 2022
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
12 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 Bubba Wallace
2 14 +12 Denny Hamlin
3 2 -1 Christopher Bell
4 Alex Bowman
5 12 +7 Martin Truex, Jr.
6 1 -5 William Byron
7 20 +13 Ross Chastain
8 5 -3 Kyle Larson
9 13 +4 Ryan Blaney
10 23 +13 Daniel Suarez
11 3 -8 Chase Elliott
12 26 +14 Austin Cindric
13 19 +6 Chase Briscoe
14 32 +18 Austin Dillon
15 8 -7 Chris Buescher
16 18 +2 Michael McDowell
17 17 Joey Logano
18 24 +6 Noah Gragson
19 15 -4 Justin Haley
20 30 +10 Ty Dillon
21 28 +7 Aric Almirola
22 Bubba Wallace
23 Tyler Reddick
24 Daniel Suarez
25 Michael McDowell
26 Ty Dillon
27 Justin Haley
28 Chase Elliott
29 Todd Gilliland
30 Cody Ware
31 B.J. McLeod
32 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
33 Garrett Smithley
34 Alex Bowman
35 7 -28 Tyler Reddick
36 Landon Cassill

* Laps led data may be incomplete for this race.

Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Kyle Larson 1 1 20
Martin Truex, Jr. 3 2 17
William Byron 2 3 17
Ryan Blaney 9 4 9
Chase Elliott 8 6 8
Tyler Reddick 4 20 7
Austin Dillon 5 17 6
Daniel Suarez 11 7 4
Ross Chastain 14 8 3
Joey Logano 10 9 3
Denny Hamlin 13 10 1
Bubba Wallace
Alex Bowman
Bubba Wallace
Tyler Reddick
Daniel Suarez
Michael McDowell
Ty Dillon
Justin Haley
Chase Elliott
Todd Gilliland
Cody Ware
B.J. McLeod
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Garrett Smithley
Alex Bowman
Landon Cassill
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 25 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.6 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Bubba Wallace 12.7 1 +11.7
2 Denny Hamlin 8.2 2 +6.2
3 Christopher Bell 10.7 3 +7.7
4 Alex Bowman 13.5 4 +9.5
5 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 5 +10.4
6 William Byron 10.7 6 +4.7
7 Ross Chastain 13.3 7 +6.3
8 Kyle Larson 12.7 8 +4.7
9 Ryan Blaney 9.2 9 +0.2
10 Daniel Suarez 14.0 10 +4.0
11 Chase Elliott 7.8 11 -3.2
12 Austin Cindric 15.4 12 +3.4
13 Chase Briscoe 11.9 13 -1.1
14 Austin Dillon 17.1 14 +3.1
15 Chris Buescher 9.2 15 -5.8
16 Michael McDowell 17.0 16 +1.0
17 Joey Logano 14.7 17 -2.3
18 Noah Gragson 21.4 18 +3.4
19 Justin Haley 19.9 19 +0.9
20 Ty Dillon 23.4 20 +3.4

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Bubba Wallace: has 21 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 17.7 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 14.2 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P23 on the day.
  • Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P30 vs predicted P56. Track history: 6 starts, 29.8 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2022 Hollywood Casino 400?
Bubba Wallace won the 2022 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway driving for 23XI Racing.
Where was the 2022 Hollywood Casino 400 held?
The 2022 Hollywood Casino 400 was held at Kansas Speedway on September 11, 2022.