South Point 400
Las Vegas Motor Speedway, October 16, 2022
Joey Logano
Winner
267
Laps
36
Entries
11
Leaders
Joey Logano won the 2022 South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on October 16, 2022, leading 32 of 267 laps. Ross Chastain finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 16, 2022
Track
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +4 | Joey Logano |
| 2 | 11 | +9 | Ross Chastain |
| 3 | 18 | +15 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | 16 | +12 | Chase Briscoe |
| 5 | 31 | +26 | Denny Hamlin |
| 6 | 1 | -5 | Tyler Reddick |
| 7 | 27 | +20 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 8 | 22 | +14 | Erik Jones |
| 9 | 21 | +12 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 10 | 10 | — | Austin Dillon |
| 11 | 17 | +6 | Noah Gragson |
| 12 | 13 | +1 | Kevin Harvick |
| 13 | 3 | -10 | William Byron |
| 14 | 28 | +14 | Justin Haley |
| 15 | 12 | -3 | Chris Buescher |
| 16 | 6 | -10 | Daniel Suarez |
| 17 | 25 | +8 | Brad Keselowski |
| 18 | 23 | +5 | Aric Almirola |
| 19 | 15 | -4 | Michael McDowell |
| 20 | 24 | +4 | Cole Custer |
| 21 | 20 | -1 | Chase Elliott |
| 22 | 19 | -3 | Ty Gibbs |
| 23 | 29 | +6 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 24 | 30 | +6 | Corey LaJoie |
| 25 | 35 | +10 | Todd Gilliland |
| 26 | 8 | -18 | Harrison Burton |
| 27 | 34 | +7 | Cody Ware |
| 28 | 4 | -24 | Ryan Blaney |
| 29 | 2 | -27 | Austin Cindric |
| 30 | 36 | +6 | B.J. McLeod |
| 31 | 26 | -5 | J.J. Yeley |
| 32 | 32 | — | Landon Cassill |
| 33 | 33 | — | Ty Dillon |
| 34 | 7 | -27 | Christopher Bell |
| 35 | 14 | -21 | Kyle Larson |
| 36 | 9 | -27 | Bubba Wallace |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Logano | 2 | 2 | — | 18 |
| Daniel Suarez | 3 | 3 | — | 16 |
| Ryan Blaney | 5 | 1 | — | 16 |
| Bubba Wallace | 1 | — | — | 10 |
| Ross Chastain | — | 4 | — | 7 |
| Austin Cindric | 6 | 9 | — | 7 |
| Christopher Bell | 4 | — | — | 7 |
| Denny Hamlin | — | 5 | — | 6 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 8 | 8 | — | 6 |
| William Byron | 10 | 6 | — | 6 |
| Kevin Harvick | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| Kyle Larson | 7 | — | — | 4 |
| Tyler Reddick | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Kyle Busch | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Elliott | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 31 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Logano | 11.9 | 1 | +10.9 |
| 2 | Ross Chastain | 14.5 | 2 | +12.5 |
| 4 | Chase Briscoe | 7.8 | 4 | +3.8 |
| 5 | Denny Hamlin | 6.2 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 6 | Tyler Reddick | 11.2 | 6 | +5.2 |
| 7 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 7 | +8.4 |
| 8 | Erik Jones | 14.7 | 8 | +6.7 |
| 9 | A.J. Allmendinger | 17.1 | 9 | +8.1 |
| 10 | Austin Dillon | 19.9 | 10 | +9.9 |
| 11 | Noah Gragson | 22.9 | 11 | +11.9 |
| 13 | William Byron | 10.7 | 13 | -2.3 |
| 14 | Justin Haley | 20.9 | 14 | +6.9 |
| 15 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 15 | -5.8 |
| 16 | Daniel Suarez | 12.7 | 16 | -3.3 |
| 17 | Brad Keselowski | 15.4 | 17 | -1.6 |
| 19 | Michael McDowell | 16.9 | 19 | -2.1 |
| 20 | Cole Custer | 22.0 | 20 | +2.0 |
| 21 | Chase Elliott | 10.1 | 21 | -10.9 |
| 22 | Ty Gibbs | 10.7 | 22 | -11.3 |
| 23 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 23 | -3.1 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Joey Logano: has 27 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 9.5 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 35 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.1 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P5 on the day.
- Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P27 vs predicted P57. Track history: 12 starts, 31.8 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 South Point 400?
Joey Logano won the 2022 South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2022 South Point 400 held?
The 2022 South Point 400 was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on October 16, 2022.