NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona
Daytona International Speedway — August 26, 2022
Jeremy Clements
Winner
118
Laps
38
Entries
12
Leaders
Jeremy Clements won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway on August 26, 2022, leading 3 of 118 laps. Timmy Hill finished second; A.J. Allmendinger rounded out the podium. The race featured 12 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, August 26, 2022
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
12 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +8 | Jeremy Clements |
| 2 | 37 | +35 | Timmy Hill |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 4 | 25 | +21 | Brandon Brown |
| 5 | 24 | +19 | Sage Karam |
| 6 | 36 | +30 | Ryan Vargas |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | Ty Gibbs |
| 8 | 21 | +13 | Alex Labbe |
| 9 | 28 | +19 | J.J. Yeley |
| 10 | 32 | +22 | Kyle Sieg |
| 11 | 34 | +23 | Jesse Iwuji |
| 12 | 22 | +10 | Myatt Snider |
| 13 | 15 | +2 | Justin Allgaier |
| 14 | 14 | — | Austin Hill |
| 15 | 6 | -9 | Riley Herbst |
| 16 | 31 | +15 | Joey Gase |
| 17 | 18 | +1 | Blaine Perkins |
| 18 | 5 | -13 | Josh Berry |
| 19 | 16 | -3 | Daniel Hemric |
| 20 | 12 | -8 | Brandon Jones |
| 21 | 29 | +8 | Jeb Burton |
| 22 | 2 | -20 | Noah Gragson |
| 23 | 10 | -13 | Landon Cassill |
| 24 | 33 | +9 | Matt Mills |
| 25 | 38 | +13 | Justin Haley |
| 26 | 11 | -15 | Ryan Sieg |
| 27 | 17 | -10 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 28 | 30 | +2 | Caesar Bacarella |
| 29 | 35 | +6 | Josh Williams |
| 30 | 23 | -7 | Bayley Currey |
| 31 | 26 | -5 | David Starr |
| 32 | 13 | -19 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 33 | 27 | -6 | Mason Massey |
| 34 | 4 | -30 | Sam Mayer |
| 35 | 19 | -16 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 36 | 7 | -29 | Sheldon Creed |
| 37 | 20 | -17 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 38 | 3 | -35 | Sammy Smith |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Timmy Hill | 22.8 | 2 | +20.8 |
| 3 | A.J. Allmendinger | 20.1 | 3 | +17.1 |
| 7 | Ty Gibbs | 22.9 | 7 | +15.9 |
| 9 | J.J. Yeley | 25.2 | 9 | +16.2 |
| 13 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 13 | +8.1 |
| 14 | Austin Hill | 24.0 | 14 | +10.0 |
| 15 | Riley Herbst | 23.7 | 15 | +8.7 |
| 16 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 16 | +7.7 |
| 18 | Josh Berry | 24.0 | 18 | +6.0 |
| 22 | Noah Gragson | 24.0 | 22 | +2.0 |
| 25 | Justin Haley | 23.4 | 25 | -1.6 |
| 27 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 18.5 | 27 | -8.5 |
| 31 | David Starr | 21.1 | 31 | -9.9 |
| 32 | Anthony Alfredo | 23.7 | 32 | -8.3 |
| 35 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.5 | 35 | -14.5 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Jeremy Clements: has 27 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 21.9 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: was the model’s top pick based on 31 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 18.6 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P27 on the day.
- Timmy Hill: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P23. Track history: 15 starts, 12.2 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona?
Jeremy Clements won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway.
Where was the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona held?
The 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona was held at Daytona International Speedway on August 26, 2022.