GEICO 500
Talladega Superspeedway, April 24, 2022
Ross Chastain
Winner
188
Laps
39
Entries
16
Leaders
Ross Chastain won the 2022 GEICO 500 at Talladega Superspeedway on April 24, 2022, leading 1 of 188 laps. Austin Dillon finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 16 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, April 24, 2022
Track
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
16 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | +18 | Ross Chastain |
| 2 | 14 | +12 | Austin Dillon |
| 3 | 12 | +9 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | 5 | +1 | Kyle Larson |
| 5 | 2 | -3 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 6 | 16 | +10 | Erik Jones |
| 7 | 28 | +21 | Chase Elliott |
| 8 | 21 | +13 | Michael McDowell |
| 9 | 27 | +18 | Alex Bowman |
| 10 | 24 | +14 | Kevin Harvick |
| 11 | 22 | +11 | Ryan Blaney |
| 12 | 11 | -1 | Justin Haley |
| 13 | 23 | +10 | Aric Almirola |
| 14 | 33 | +19 | Corey LaJoie |
| 15 | 8 | -7 | William Byron |
| 16 | 6 | -10 | Kurt Busch |
| 17 | 9 | -8 | Bubba Wallace |
| 18 | 7 | -11 | Denny Hamlin |
| 19 | 39 | +20 | Landon Cassill |
| 20 | 31 | +11 | Noah Gragson |
| 21 | 18 | -3 | Austin Cindric |
| 22 | 1 | -21 | Christopher Bell |
| 23 | 15 | -8 | Brad Keselowski |
| 24 | 36 | +12 | David Ragan |
| 25 | 38 | +13 | J.J. Yeley |
| 26 | 37 | +11 | B.J. McLeod |
| 27 | 32 | +5 | Todd Gilliland |
| 28 | 34 | +6 | Cody Ware |
| 29 | 29 | — | Cole Custer |
| 30 | 26 | -4 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 31 | 4 | -27 | Daniel Suarez |
| 32 | 13 | -19 | Joey Logano |
| 33 | 20 | -13 | Ty Dillon |
| 34 | 25 | -9 | Harrison Burton |
| 35 | 35 | — | Greg Biffle |
| 36 | 3 | -33 | Daniel Hemric |
| 37 | 17 | -20 | Chase Briscoe |
| 38 | 30 | -8 | Chris Buescher |
| 39 | 10 | -29 | Tyler Reddick |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | 2 | 3 | — | 17 |
| William Byron | 4 | 1 | — | 17 |
| Chase Elliott | 6 | 2 | — | 14 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 5 | 4 | — | 13 |
| Bubba Wallace | 1 | — | — | 10 |
| Alex Bowman | 9 | 5 | — | 8 |
| Christopher Bell | 3 | — | — | 8 |
| Erik Jones | 8 | 8 | — | 6 |
| Kyle Busch | — | 6 | — | 5 |
| Kurt Busch | 7 | 10 | — | 5 |
| Aric Almirola | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| Ross Chastain | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Harvick | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Denny Hamlin | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| David Ragan | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Greg Biffle | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 30 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross Chastain | 16.0 | 1 | +15.0 |
| 2 | Austin Dillon | 21.1 | 2 | +19.1 |
| 4 | Kyle Larson | 20.1 | 4 | +16.1 |
| 5 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 20.5 | 5 | +15.5 |
| 6 | Erik Jones | 16.0 | 6 | +10.0 |
| 7 | Chase Elliott | 13.6 | 7 | +6.6 |
| 8 | Michael McDowell | 19.2 | 8 | +11.2 |
| 9 | Alex Bowman | 17.4 | 9 | +8.4 |
| 11 | Ryan Blaney | 10.4 | 11 | -0.6 |
| 12 | Justin Haley | 23.4 | 12 | +11.4 |
| 14 | Corey LaJoie | 23.3 | 14 | +9.3 |
| 15 | William Byron | 13.9 | 15 | -1.1 |
| 17 | Bubba Wallace | 16.9 | 17 | -0.1 |
| 18 | Denny Hamlin | 15.1 | 18 | -2.9 |
| 20 | Noah Gragson | 25.2 | 20 | +5.2 |
| 21 | Austin Cindric | 19.4 | 21 | -1.6 |
| 22 | Christopher Bell | 15.1 | 22 | -6.9 |
| 23 | Brad Keselowski | 18.5 | 23 | -4.5 |
| 25 | J.J. Yeley | 25.5 | 25 | +0.5 |
| 26 | B.J. McLeod | 25.5 | 26 | -0.5 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ross Chastain: has 26 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 19.3 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 28 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 17.3 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P11 on the day.
- Austin Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P21. Track history: 32 starts, 17.0 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 GEICO 500?
Ross Chastain won the 2022 GEICO 500 at Talladega Superspeedway driving for TrackHouse Racing.
Where was the 2022 GEICO 500 held?
The 2022 GEICO 500 was held at Talladega Superspeedway on April 24, 2022.