AdventHealth 400
Kansas Speedway, May 7, 2023
Denny Hamlin
Winner
267
Laps
36
Entries
12
Leaders
Denny Hamlin won the 2023 AdventHealth 400 at Kansas Speedway on May 7, 2023, leading 34 of 267 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; William Byron rounded out the podium. The race featured 12 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | Denny Hamlin |
| 2 | 2 | — | Kyle Larson |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | William Byron |
| 4 | 17 | +13 | Bubba Wallace |
| 5 | 3 | -2 | Ross Chastain |
| 6 | 6 | — | Joey Logano |
| 7 | 21 | +14 | Chase Elliott |
| 8 | 4 | -4 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 9 | 5 | -4 | Tyler Reddick |
| 10 | 11 | +1 | Austin Dillon |
| 11 | 13 | +2 | Kevin Harvick |
| 12 | 33 | +21 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 13 | 18 | +5 | Aric Almirola |
| 14 | 27 | +13 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 15 | 9 | -6 | Daniel Suarez |
| 16 | 10 | -6 | Ryan Blaney |
| 17 | 14 | -3 | Chris Buescher |
| 18 | 30 | +12 | Justin Haley |
| 19 | 20 | +1 | Brad Keselowski |
| 20 | 24 | +4 | Corey LaJoie |
| 21 | 19 | -2 | Erik Jones |
| 22 | 26 | +4 | Ty Dillon |
| 23 | 35 | +12 | J.J. Yeley |
| 24 | 32 | +8 | Todd Gilliland |
| 25 | 29 | +4 | Josh Berry |
| 26 | 23 | -3 | Michael McDowell |
| 27 | 28 | +1 | Ryan Preece |
| 28 | 34 | +6 | Brennan Poole |
| 29 | 22 | -7 | Noah Gragson |
| 30 | 25 | -5 | Harrison Burton |
| 31 | 15 | -16 | Austin Cindric |
| 32 | 31 | -1 | Chase Briscoe |
| 33 | 36 | +3 | Josh Bilicki |
| 34 | 7 | -27 | Ty Gibbs |
| 35 | 16 | -19 | Kyle Busch |
| 36 | 12 | -24 | Christopher Bell |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | 1 | 10 | — | 11 |
| Joey Logano | — | 1 | — | 10 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 2 | — | — | 9 |
| Michael McDowell | — | 2 | — | 9 |
| Noah Gragson | — | 3 | — | 8 |
| Ty Gibbs | 3 | — | — | 8 |
| Tyler Reddick | 4 | — | — | 7 |
| Erik Jones | — | 4 | — | 7 |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | 5 | — | 6 |
| Daniel Suarez | 5 | — | — | 6 |
| Chris Buescher | — | 6 | — | 5 |
| Christopher Bell | 6 | — | — | 5 |
| Bubba Wallace | 7 | — | — | 4 |
| Austin Dillon | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| Kyle Larson | 10 | 9 | — | 3 |
| Ryan Blaney | 8 | — | — | 3 |
| Ty Dillon | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Ross Chastain | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| William Byron | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Elliott | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Harvick | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Berry | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Brennan Poole | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Bilicki | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 32 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.1 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 6.2 | 1 | +5.2 |
| 2 | Kyle Larson | 13.1 | 2 | +11.1 |
| 3 | William Byron | 10.7 | 3 | +7.7 |
| 4 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 4 | +8.7 |
| 5 | Ross Chastain | 14.5 | 5 | +9.5 |
| 6 | Joey Logano | 11.9 | 6 | +5.9 |
| 7 | Chase Elliott | 10.1 | 7 | +3.1 |
| 8 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 8 | +7.4 |
| 9 | Tyler Reddick | 11.2 | 9 | +2.2 |
| 10 | Austin Dillon | 19.9 | 10 | +9.9 |
| 12 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 12 | +7.9 |
| 14 | A.J. Allmendinger | 17.1 | 14 | +3.1 |
| 15 | Daniel Suarez | 12.7 | 15 | -2.3 |
| 16 | Ryan Blaney | 8.2 | 16 | -7.8 |
| 17 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 17 | -7.8 |
| 18 | Justin Haley | 20.9 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 19 | Brad Keselowski | 15.4 | 19 | -3.6 |
| 20 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 20 | +2.2 |
| 21 | Erik Jones | 14.7 | 21 | -6.3 |
| 22 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 22 | +0.9 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin: has 40 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.4 avg finish (5 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Kyle Larson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P13. Track history: 26 starts, 12.8 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 AdventHealth 400?
Denny Hamlin won the 2023 AdventHealth 400 at Kansas Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2023 AdventHealth 400 held?
The 2023 AdventHealth 400 was held at Kansas Speedway on May 7, 2023.